Global Oilseed Production Forecast to Reach Record Levels in 2026/27

USDA says growing soybean output and expanding biofuel demand are helping drive the increase.

Soybean plants growing in a field backlit by the sun

bobex73 - stock.adobe.com

NASHVILLE, Tenn. (RFD News) — Global oilseed production is projected to reach a record level during the 2026/27 marketing year as soybean, sunflowerseed, rapeseed and peanut production all increase.

USDA’s Economic Research Service forecasts total global oilseed production at 718.1 million metric tons, up nearly 20 million metric tons from the previous year.

Soybeans are expected to account for most of the increase, with global production projected at a record 441.5 million metric tons.

Economic Research Service (ERS) says larger soybean crops are expected in Brazil, the United States, Argentina and several other major producing countries.

At the same time, global oilseed crush is forecast at 549.8 million metric tons, driven by rising demand for livestock feed, aquaculture production and vegetable oils used in both food and industrial products.

USDA says biofuels continue playing a major role in demand growth, particularly in countries like Indonesia, Brazil and the United States.

Soybean oil, palm oil, rapeseed oil and sunflowerseed oil all remain key components of the global outlook.

Brazil’s soybean crop is projected to reach a record 186 million metric tons, with the country expected to account for 62 percent of global soybean exports.

Farm-Level Takeaway: Record oilseed production may expand supply, but crush and biofuel demand remain major supports for soybean and vegetable oil markets.
Tony St. James, RFD News Markets Specialist
Related Stories
Large carryover stocks continue to put pressure on commodity prices, creating uncertainty for growers looking to market their grain.
Record crops are increasing grain storage needs, prompting safety experts to remind producers of the risk of grain bin entrapment during harvest.
The impacts of the government shutdown have reached commodity growers with crops to move, ag economists monitoring the harvest without key data reporting, and meat producers in need of new export markets.
In a statement provided to RFD-TV News, a USDA spokesperson reiterated President Trump and the USDA’s commitment to farmers in difficult economic times.
Support policies that keep U.S. biofuels at the table—marine demand could materially lift corn grind, crush margins, and rural jobs.
China is not one of our top suppliers of cooking oil, according to USDA ERS data, but does export a lot of used cooking oil to the U.S. for biofuel production.

Tony St. James joined the RFD-TV talent team in August 2024, bringing a wealth of experience and a fresh perspective to RFD-TV and Rural Radio Channel 147 Sirius XM. In addition to his role as Market Specialist (collaborating with Scott “The Cow Guy” Shellady to provide radio and TV audiences with the latest updates on ag commodity markets), he hosts “Rural America Live” and serves as talent for trade shows.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

Buying a real Christmas tree directly supports U.S. farmers facing rising import competition, long production cycles, and weather-driven risks.
Strong plant output and rising exports contrast with softer domestic blending demand, suggesting margins are poised for volatility.
Milk output is rising, but steep drops in Class I–IV prices are tightening margins heading into 2026.
Tight cattle supplies continue to drive lower beef output despite heavier weights.
Weaker U.S. dairy prices come as value-added exports expand and ingredient inventories tighten, creating mixed market signals for producers.
WTO gauges point to agricultural raw materials trade growing more slowly than overall goods, reinforcing the need to manage export risk and monitor policy shifts closely.