NASHVILLE, Tenn. (RFD News) —U.S. soybean oil demand is expected to climb in 2026/27 as federal biofuel policy pushes biomass-based diesel production higher. USDA’s Economic Research Service says record Renewable Volume Obligations for 2026 and 2027 are expected to increase demand for biofuel feedstocks.
The 45Z tax credit also changes the feedstock picture. ERS says the credit now limits eligibility to fuel produced in the United States with feedstocks sourced from North America and removes indirect land-use change from carbon score calculations.
Soybean oil should benefit from that change. USDA forecasts soybean oil use for biomass-based diesel production at 17.8 billion pounds in 2026/27, up 3.6 billion pounds from 2025/26. Canola oil use is also expected to grow.
Renewable diesel capacity has expanded sharply, rising from 900 million gallons in January 2021 to 5 billion gallons in December 2025. That growth increases competition for vegetable oils, animal fats, and used cooking oil.
ERS projects Central Illinois soybean oil prices at 70 cents per pound, up from 63 cents.
Farm-Level Takeaway: Stronger biofuel policy support could lift soybean oil demand and help maintain crush margins in soybean markets.
Tony St. James, RFD News Markets Specialist
Mike Newland with the Propane Education & Research Council shares how producers can prepare for winter weather and the benefits of propane.
November 07, 2025 12:03 PM
·
Distillers dried grains (DDG) values follow corn and soybean meal trends, with ethanol grind and feed demand shaping costs into early 2026.
November 07, 2025 10:45 AM
·
Record output, larger stocks, and softer exports point to a well-supplied domestic ethanol market as harvest progresses.
November 06, 2025 10:53 AM
·
David Klein with the American Society of Farm Managers and Rural Appraisers (ASFMRA) shares an end-of-harvest update and a peek at the farmland market in Central Illinois.
November 05, 2025 12:58 PM
·
Wed, 12/10/25 – 7:30 PM ET | 6:30 PM CT | 5:30 PM MT | 4:30 PM PT
November 05, 2025 11:59 AM
The Farm Bureau urges trade enforcement, biofuel growth, fair input pricing, and pro-farmer policy reforms to restore long-term certainty.
November 05, 2025 11:41 AM
·
