Despite a projected record year for U.S. ag exports, economists believe those gains will not continue into 2023.
Analysts at Aimpoint Research say there are several factors at play, including Brazil’s corn and soybean crops. They say another challenge is the Mississippi River, with meteorologists not expecting a drastic rise until next year. If that is the case, Brazil could take over the soybean market.
Researchers also point to a stronger U.S. Dollar, which makes American ag products more expensive in the global market.
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Farmers await concrete trade commitments from China. Until then, export prospects for soybeans, corn, and sorghum remain uncertain against strong South American competition.
National Sorghum Producers CEO Tim Lust said farmers face a challenging year with strong supply, murky trade conditions, and uncertain access to their largest market: China.
U.S. trade talks with China resume, but meat industry leaders say dealing with shifting demand and market uncertainty is nothing new in this side of the ag sector.
Tariffs are pushing up input costs, with fertilizer prices rising $100 per ton and machinery costs climbing due to steel and parts duties.
