NASHVILLE, Tenn. (RFD-TV) — There is a whole lot of corn on hand right now, and the markets are eager to see the next World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimate (WASDE). The upcoming U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) report will provide an update on yield data, which the latest reportdid not address.
Economist Naomi Blohm said traders hope for a downward revision, which would be good news for growers.
“If this corn yield number in the United States goes down in January, if there’s this weather issue in South America this winter, and if the USDA brings that yield number down, we’ve got reasons for corn futures to be able to really easily climb over $4.50,” Blohm explained. “And maybe head up towards the $5 area, which would be very welcomed for so many producers.”
Despite ample corn supplies on hand, Blohm said domestic demand has been strong, especially for ethanol. She estimated that one-third of U.S. corn supplies go to that sector, totaling about 5.5 billion bushels.
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Lewis Williamson with HTS Commodities shares an update on post-WASDE grain movement, with corn leading export momentum, soybeans steady, and wheat and sorghum continuing to move selectively.
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Here is a regional snapshot of harvest pace, crop conditions, logistics, and livestock economics across U.S. agriculture for the week of Monday, November 17, 2025.
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Ethanol markets remain mixed — weaker production and blend rates are being partially balanced by stronger exports as winter demand patterns take shape.
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Strong U.S. yields and steady demand leave most major crops well supplied, keeping price pressure in place unless usage strengthens or weather shifts outlooks.
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While agriculture doesn’t predict every recession, the sector’s long history of turning down before the broader economy
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ARC-CO delivers the bulk of 2024 support, offering key margin relief as producers manage tight operating conditions.
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USDA’s steady yields and heavy global stocks keep grains range-bound unless demand firms or South American weather becomes a real threat.
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