USDA has risen its Florida orange forecast by 100,000 boxes compared to it February forecast, but it still remains 35% below last year’s final production numbers.
USDA now predicts that this season’s totals will reach 11.6 million boxes, the majority of which are made up by Valencia oranges. The year-over-year decline is part of a larger trend, which has been largely caused by hurricanes.
According to Mark Hudson with USDA NASS, “It’s even lower than the hurricane season of two years ago, when you look at 11.6 for all oranges compared to just two seasons ago when it was 15.82 million boxes. And even with— during Irma, Irma was 45 million boxes, compared to 11 million boxes, but you can understand we have less trees and also, the yields are not as high.”
Hudson says that he blames lower yields on citrus green disease, which has now been discovered across most of the state of Florida.
Urea and phosphate see the biggest price relief from tariff exemptions, but nitrogen markets remain tight, and spring demand will still dictate pricing momentum.
November 19, 2025 12:31 PM
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Hunter Biram, an extension economist with the University of Arkansas, is tracking Mississippi River water levels as grain shippers shift their focus to transportation following the wrap-up of fall harvest.
November 18, 2025 01:24 PM
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New SDRP funding and expanded loss programs give producers additional tools to rebuild cash flow and stabilize operations after two years of severe weather losses.
November 18, 2025 11:56 AM
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China still has a long way to go before it meets its commitment to buy 12 million metric tons of U.S. soybeans this year.
November 18, 2025 11:23 AM
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Here is a regional snapshot of harvest pace, crop conditions, logistics, and livestock economics across U.S. agriculture for the week of Monday, November 17, 2025.
November 17, 2025 05:05 PM
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Brooks York with Agrisompo joined us on Monday’s Market Day Report with some guidance on how producers can navigate their crop insurance claims for unsold grain crops.
November 17, 2025 01:46 PM
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