Loan Delinquencies Increase, Farmland Values Continue to Strengthen

Credit stress is building for row-crop farms despite steady land values and slight price improvements.

CHICAGO, Il. (RFD-TV) — Farm finances tightened across the Chicago Federal Reserve’s Seventh District in the third quarter, with ag bankers reporting higher loan delinquencies even as farmland values posted modest year-over-year gains. The Chicago Fed’s latest AgLetter, led by policy advisor David Oppedahl, found credit conditions weakening further while crop farms remained pressed by narrow margins and rising costs.

Corn and soybean prices improved slightly late in the quarter, offering limited relief to crop producers who continue to face competition from Brazil and elevated input expenses. Bankers noted that weaker cash earnings are expected this fall and winter for most crop farms and dairy operations.

Operationally, more renewals and extensions signal increasing stress, and nearly half of the surveyed bankers anticipate a rise in forced liquidations. Some lenders are advising producers to tighten expenses or sell assets to rebuild working capital.

Regionally, farmland values rose about 3 percent from a year ago and held steady from the previous quarter, supported by strong demand and some interest from outside investors.

Looking ahead, livestock operations — particularly cattle and hog producers — may see stronger earnings as beef demand keeps prices elevated.

Farm-Level Takeaway: Credit stress is building for row-crop farms despite steady land values and slight price improvements.
Tony St. James, RFD-TV Markets Specialist
Related Stories
Industry leaders representing more than 40 nations gathered to discuss the future of ethanol and other corn-based products.
Farmers display a unique optimism — planting with the expectation that weather, basis, and prices will improve by harvest — asserting that the profession is an identity, not just a job.
A fast-moving series of trade signals from the White House and key partners is resetting the near-term outlook for U.S. agriculture.
Stay alert for trade announcements—especially border reopening timelines, tariff threats, and developments in Brazil’s export flows.
Margin Protection and the new MCO add county-level margin tools — with earlier price discovery, input cost triggers, and high subsidy rates — to complement on-farm risk plans for 2026.
For aging operators and their rural neighbors, staying socially engaged is a practical strategy to preserve decision-making capacity and farm vitality.

Tony St. James joined the RFD-TV talent team in August 2024, bringing a wealth of experience and a fresh perspective to RFD-TV and Rural Radio Channel 147 Sirius XM. In addition to his role as Market Specialist (collaborating with Scott “The Cow Guy” Shellady to provide radio and TV audiences with the latest updates on ag commodity markets), he hosts “Rural America Live” and serves as talent for trade shows.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

Low farmer shares reflect deep consolidation across the food chain, keeping producer returns thin even as retail food prices remain high.
Strong yields and higher cattle prices helped stabilize conditions, but weak crop prices and rising carryover debt remain major challenges for Eleventh District farmers.
Corn exports remain strong, while soybeans and wheat shift week to week on river conditions and global demand.
A regional snapshot of harvest pace, crop conditions, logistics, and livestock economics across U.S. agriculture, prepared by RFD-TV Markets Specialist Tony St. James, for the week of Monday, November 24, 2025.
Texas Ag Commissioner Sid Miller warns horse owners after EHV-1 cases linked to the Waco WPRA Finals. Horses linked to recent Waco events should be isolated and closely monitored, as early action is critical to stopping the spread of EHV-1.
Farmers with unpaid Hansen-Mueller grain should verify delivery records immediately and file indemnity claims quickly, as coverage rules differ sharply by state.