New tariffs were announced overnight against Canada. In a letter to Prime Minister Mark Carney, President Trump expressed concerns in several areas, including dairy trade.
Canada now faces a 35 percent tariff on all goods entering the United States, beginning August 1st. The rate will be on top of the other sector-based duties.
President Trump says Canada still has large barriers for U.S. dairy products, warning that some dairy farmers cannot even enter the Canadian market. He calls the imbalance a threat to national security.
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WTO gauges point to agricultural raw materials trade growing more slowly than overall goods, reinforcing the need to manage export risk and monitor policy shifts closely.
One trader said the products entering the U.S. are primarily grind and trim, noting that the volume and type of beef, on its own, should not cause a major disruption. However, he says fund traders are reacting heavily to headlines rather than market realities.
Higher rail tariffs and tighter Canadian supplies will keep oat transportation costs firm into 2026.
Removing the 40% duty sharply lowers U.S. beef import costs on beef, coffee, fertilizer and fruit, and restores Brazil’s competitiveness during a period of tight domestic supply.
Ethanol exports are expanding on strong demand from Canada and Europe, while DDGS shipments remain broad-based and supportive for feed markets.
Urea and phosphate see the biggest price relief from tariff exemptions, but nitrogen markets remain tight, and spring demand will still dictate pricing momentum.
Firm live cow prices and shifting dairy-side culling suggest cull cow values may stay stronger than usual this winter despite weaker cow beef cutout trends.
Shawn Haney, Host of RealAg Radio on Rural Radio SiriusXM Channel 147, joined us on Tuesday’s Market Day Report with the latest news from Canada impacting the ag sector.
