Sluggish Trade Action: What is behind the ag trade deficit?

Ag exports have been sluggish recently, with nearly every ag group asking for more market access. USDA says the numbers prove a downturn.

As we’ve seen, imports have been increasing more than exports by value for a while, so that’s not a big surprise, just to see that we’ve got a nine percent increase over last year. The main driver of the slower exports in the last couple of years has been the strong dollar compared to foreign currencies, and so a lot of the places that compete with U.S. agricultural products on the global market can sell their products at a competitive price to foreign purchasers. So we have seen that downturn, though it seems to be leveling off, we’ve got a 1% increase over last year in terms of value,” said Bart Kenner.

Kenner has also been watching the numbers around bulk exports, saying they are a big part of the equation.

“Which by value make up 31% of the agricultural exports in the U.S. We see that bulk products are down by value 7% from last year, and a big part of that is the reduction of unit values, because we actually see by volume, substantial increases. Wheat is 23% higher than last year by volume, coarse grains, corn specifically, is 39% higher than last year by volume. But those categories, the wheat, which was up 23% by volume was down 2% by value from time last year. Corn, which was up 39% by volume, is only up 6% by value over this time last year from those decreased unit values.”

Ag trade will be a big focus of the incoming Trump Administration. The President-elect has already nominated his pick to be the U.S. Trade Rep. Jamieson Greer made his rounds with lawmakers several weeks ago. Senator Chuck Grassley says the two talked trade and the need for expanding market access for U.S. farmers.

Related Stories
Beef is leading the decline as slaughter drops and supplies tighten.
Ethanol demand held together last week, but lower production and thinner stocks put more focus on export strength. Production capacity is also strengthening over time and benefiting soybean farmers.
Farm Bureau Economist Dr. Faith Parum discusses USDA’s efforts to expand fertilizer capacity, signals for farm profitability, and AFBF’s Farm Bill expectations.
Expanded export financing could provide greater support for ag sales abroad if buyers and lenders use the additional tools.
The farm bill is still moving, but the toughest amendment fights were pushed into today’s session. ASA President Scott Metzger joins us to discuss the risks of tariff actions on soybean exports, concerns over trade policy and production costs, and the importance of Farm Bill updates.
Higher input costs are making flexible marketing plans and updated break-even targets more important.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

Seasonal pricing strength is lining up with crop stress, giving wheat producers another weather-driven marketing window. Shaun Haney joins us to discuss concerns from ag bankers on farm profitability.
Dr. Ernie Goss joined us to break down the latest Rural Main Street Index, discuss pressures on farm finances and equipment sales, and share expectations for the ag economy ahead.
Just like cows, kids experience ups and downs—from small frustrations to unexpected moments—but there is still good in every day.
Dr. Jeffrey Gold joins us on Rural Health Matters to discuss rural mental health awareness, the importance of reducing stigma in agriculture, and resources available to farmers, ranchers, and rural families seeking support.
Utah Senator John Curtis joins us for “Champions of Rural America” to discuss new legislation to improve forest management and wildfire prevention and its broader implications for rural communities and infrastructure.
NRECA CEO Jim Matheson joins us to discuss rural electric co-ops’ push for expanded USDA loan programs, rising energy demand from data center expansion, wildfire mitigation and other policy priorities impacting rural power infrastructure.