Ag analysts are closely watching the Middle East after threats by Iran to close the Strait of Hormuz. The relatively short marine passageway is vital to global oil shipping, and any disruptions could translate to higher oil prices.
Iran is threatening to close the 90-mile passageway after U.S. attacks on nuclear facilities there. The route is a popular choice for oil shipments, carrying around 20 million barrels of oil each day. Analysts with Hedgepoint say any jump in oil prices will hit shippers first, with fuel being one of the largest costs.
Oil prices are up around 10 percent since earlier this month. AAA currently shows the national average for a gallon of diesel is around $3.69, and one month ago, the same gallon was $3.55.
Moderate oil prices may ease fuel costs, but continued caution in the energy sector could limit rural economic growth.
January 22, 2026 06:00 PM
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Ethanol and corn groups are not hiding their disappointment over new reports that the bill to allow year-round E15 sales failed as Congress forges ahead on government funding, with another shutdown looming.
January 22, 2026 11:24 AM
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Oil-led rallies can move soybean prices quickly, but sustained gains will require continued strength in soybean oil and broader biofuel demand signals.
January 22, 2026 10:39 AM
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Corn growers are turning to ethanol, E15 expansion, and export markets to help absorb record supplies and stabilize prices. Farm leaders discuss low-carbon ethanol demand, flex-fuel vehicle challenges, input costs, and the role of USMCA as producers look for market relief in the year ahead.
January 20, 2026 02:04 PM
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While short-term volatility remains a risk, softer ocean freight rates in 2026 could improve export margins.
January 18, 2026 12:00 PM
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National Corn Growers Association Chief Economist Krista Swanson discusses corn supply pressures, market fundamentals, policy considerations, and producer outlook for the year ahead.
January 16, 2026 01:13 PM
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