Ag analysts are closely watching the Middle East after threats by Iran to close the Strait of Hormuz. The relatively short marine passageway is vital to global oil shipping, and any disruptions could translate to higher oil prices.
Iran is threatening to close the 90-mile passageway after U.S. attacks on nuclear facilities there. The route is a popular choice for oil shipments, carrying around 20 million barrels of oil each day. Analysts with Hedgepoint say any jump in oil prices will hit shippers first, with fuel being one of the largest costs.
Oil prices are up around 10 percent since earlier this month. AAA currently shows the national average for a gallon of diesel is around $3.69, and one month ago, the same gallon was $3.55.
Related Stories
Corn growers are turning to ethanol, E15 expansion, and export markets to help absorb record supplies and stabilize prices. Farm leaders discuss low-carbon ethanol demand, flex-fuel vehicle challenges, input costs, and the role of USMCA as producers look for market relief in the year ahead.
While short-term volatility remains a risk, softer ocean freight rates in 2026 could improve export margins.
National Corn Growers Association Chief Economist Krista Swanson discusses corn supply pressures, market fundamentals, policy considerations, and producer outlook for the year ahead.
Iowa Secretary of Agriculture Mike Naig discusses market conditions, policy priorities, and his outlook for agriculture moving forward.
Congressman Dusty Johnson of South Dakota joined us to discuss key ag policy developments and his outlook for agriculture in 2026.
Record ethanol production and improving blending demand continue to support corn usage despite rising short-term inventories.
U.S. Secretary of Agriculture Brooke Rollins said permanent access to the higher ethanol blend would provide farmers with much-needed certainty while supporting domestic crop demand.
As domestic production and blending slowed, export demand remained a clear bright spot.
Higher ethanol blend rates translate directly into stronger, more durable corn demand if regulatory momentum holds.
