Higher corn sales have pushed the ag export forecast up by half a billion dollars since November.
These brand new numbers from USDA show that despite the gain, it is still below last year’s levels.
The Department predicts ag exports this year will be around $170 billion, which is up by half a billion since USDA’s November report, but down more than two percent from last year.
Corn exports came in higher than expected after higher volumes and unit values, and ag imports are projected at $220 million this year, a six percent jump over 2024.
Newly confirmed U.S. Trade Rep Jamieson Greer has said he will make enforcement a key tool in his trade agenda, hoping to level the playing field for U.S. producers.
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Mixed product pricing and rising milk supplies suggest margin management will remain critical as 2026 unfolds.
Corn and soybean exports continue to anchor weekly inspection totals, with China maintaining a visible role, while wheat and sorghum remain more dependent on regional and seasonal demand shifts.
Rail continues to carry a larger share of the grain load, increasing sensitivity to rail capacity, labor, and pricing conditions.
Rising import pressure and tougher export competition are likely to persist into 2026, supporting domestic supplies while capping export growth.
From tariff talks in Europe to SCOTUS uncertainty and rising farm losses, analysts say policy and global supply will shape grain markets in the year ahead.
Analysts say a Supreme Court decision on tariffs could reshape protein markets, strain U.S.-China trade, and force farmers to rethink global demand strategies.
