Cautionary Tale of Tariffs: Ag groups are closely watching for retaliation

President Trump has pushed the rollout of his tariff plan back to March 4th, but they are still full speed ahead. While ag lawmakers are largely supportive, some warn farmers and ranchers could become targets.

“I do have a cautionary note always with tariffs because, historically, if we impose tariffs on another country, a lot of times we will see a retaliatory effort on their part. And nine times out of ten, the target for those retaliations is right at America’s breadbasket, our agricultural economy,” said Representative Dan Newhouse.

The Farm Bureau is also worried about retaliation. They have been watching the situation closely and say unless something changes, everything takes effect next Tuesday.

“If we do that, Canada’s retaliatory tariffs would also enter into force next Tuesday. Canada has also stated previously that if the tariffs were to remain in effect, they’ll impose further tariffs on an additional 125 billion dollars of U.S. products, which could expand to all U.S. agricultural products exported to Canada,” said AFBF Economist Betty Resnick.

Prior to last month’s pause, Canada listed a number of goods that would face retaliatory tariffs including proteins, row crops, and processed foods like chocolate, pasta, and soup.

Related Stories
Industry leaders say $11 billion in new investments could turn the tide as dairy producers face shrinking margins and growing uncertainty.
Expect choppier basis and wider bids — hedge earlier, keep logistics flexible, and watch Argentina and India headlines for near-term opportunities.
Even in this strong market, some beef producers are leaving money on the table by not following proven marketing practices.
New U.S. fees on Chinese-owned and built ships took effect overnight, marking the latest escalation in maritime trade tensions between Washington and Beijing.
President Trump is expected to press Argentina to take a tougher stance on China in exchange for political and economic support.
The American Farm Bureau Federation (AFBF) is urging Congress and the Trump Administration to act quickly on behalf of American agriculture.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

“I’m not sure where this bridge goes,” trader Brady Huck with Advanced Trading told RFD-TV News earlier this week.
CoBank’s 2026 Year Ahead Report cites global grain oversupply, easing inflation, rate cuts, and major data center growth that could reshape rural America.
Plan for sharp, short-term volatility after unexpected outages; permanent closures rarely trigger major price spread disruptions.
American Farm Bureau Federation (AFBF) economist Danny Munch joined us on Thursday’s Market Day Report to break down the scope of the U.S. Christmas Tree industry and what growers are up against.