Diesel Prices Keep Rising as Middle East Tensions Continue

Kansas State University agricultural economist Dr. Gregg Ibendahl discusses rising diesel prices, the influence of global oil markets, and the potential impact on farmers heading into the spring planting season.

diesel.jpg

Market Day Report

NASHVILLE, TENN. (RFD NEWS) — Diesel prices are climbing toward $5 per gallon following sharp spikes in global oil markets, adding new cost pressures for farmers preparing for spring planting.

According to AAA, the national average for a gallon of diesel has reached $4.98, up from $4.65 just one week ago. A month ago, diesel averaged $3.64 per gallon, and one year ago it was about $3.60. The surge comes as Brent crude oil prices topped $105 per barrel amid ongoing disruptions tied to the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, a critical global energy shipping route.

Dr. Gregg Ibendahl, an agricultural economist with Kansas State University, joined us on Monday’s Market Day Report to discuss what historical oil and gas price trends might suggest for pump prices in the current climate.

In his interview with RFD NEWS, Ibendahl explained that crude oil prices are a key driver of fuel costs, and major disruptions to transportation routes can quickly ripple through energy markets.

With the Strait of Hormuz remaining closed, Ibendahl noted the potential for longer-term impacts if shipping disruptions persist. Higher fuel prices could significantly increase operating costs for farmers, particularly as they begin spring planting and rely heavily on diesel for fieldwork and transportation.

Ibendahl also discussed how quickly markets might stabilize if the geopolitical situation is resolved. While crude oil prices can react quickly to new developments, it may take longer for those changes to filter down to diesel prices at the pump.

Related Stories
New research shows that most farmers do not have a formal resiliency plan in place. Devin Fuhrman highlights how Nationwide’s Farm Risk Ready initiative supports farmers in building stronger, more resilient operations.
The American Coalition for Ethanol reacts as the Farm Bill heads to a full House vote — while ethanol expansion, including year-round E15, is left out — as well as the USDA’s pursuit of global markets for ethanol.
Hurd joined this week’s Champions of Rural America to review the proposed Farm Bill moving through the House and discuss its potential impact on rural communities and farmers across the country.
Mexican livestock officials are emphasizing surveillance and inspection systems to preserve access to the U.S. cattle export market. Texas’ Bovina Feeders explains the rising stakes as the border stays closed.
University of Arkansas’ Allen Szalanski discusses a news study on rice stink bugs, what it could mean for farmers, and pest management strategies for the future.
Weak crop margins and tariff uncertainty are delaying machinery purchases and signaling slower capital investment across U.S. agriculture.

Marion is a digital content manager for RFD News and FarmHER + RanchHER. She started working for Rural Media Group in May 2022, bringing a decade of digital experience in broadcast media and some cooking experience to the team.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

Surging energy markets are quickly becoming a cost story for U.S. agriculture as crude oil climbs on supply fears tied to the Middle East conflict.
Global food prices rose slightly in the latest FAO Food Price Index as vegetable oils, cereals, and meat increased, offsetting declines in dairy and sugar.
Farm Bureau Economist Dr. Faith Parum explains the role farm safety net programs play in supporting farm finances as growers head into the 2026 planting season.
Wed, 3/18/26 – 7:30 PM ET – Build better financial habits with tips from AARP
Corn demand is rising thanks to ethanol expansion, yet year-round E15 remains missing from the Farm Bill—leaving farmers questioning the policy gap.
Real Ag’s Shaun Haney explains how farmers are approaching risk management and the steps they’re taking to strengthen profitability through better financial planning.