Ethanol Output Drops While Stocks Push Higher Nationwide

Rising ethanol stocks and softer gasoline demand bear watching, but stronger blending activity and exports offered some support.

Farmland producing ethanol for the oil and gas industry. Railroad tankers cars lined up near a ethanol plant at sunset_Photo by photogrfx via AdobeStock_496174713.png

Photo by photogrfx via Adobe Stock

NASHVILLE, TENN. (RFD NEWS) — U.S. ethanol production moved lower in the week ending April 17, even as inventories kept building. According to the latest from the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA), output fell 7.1 percent to 1.04 million barrels per day. That equals 43.68 million gallons per day and marked an 11-week low.

Even so, production still ran 0.7 percent above the same week last year and 5.6 percent above the three-year average. The four-week average slipped 1.7 percent to 1.09 million barrels per day, equal to 16.72 billion gallons annualized.

The weekly drop in output matters because ethanol margins can tighten when stocks rise faster than demand. Ethanol stocks increased 0.9% to 26.9 million barrels, up 5.8% from a year ago and 7.0 percent above the three-year average for the week.

Regionally, inventories grew on the East Coast to a one-year high and on the Gulf Coast to a six-year high. Stocks declined in the other regions, while gasoline supplied — a demand gauge — dipped 0.4 percent to 9.06 million barrels per day.

Refiner and blender net ethanol inputs improved 5.3 percent to 921,000 barrels per day, the strongest weekly pace since mid-September 2025. Exports also rose 12.3 percent to 91,000 barrels per day, and EIA again reported no ethanol imports.

Farm-Level Takeaway: Rising ethanol stocks and softer gasoline demand bear watching, but stronger blending activity and exports offered some support.
Tony St. James, RFD News Markets Specialist
Related Stories
Large carry-in stocks across major crops could limit price recovery in 2026/27 unless demand strengthens or weather-related supply reductions occur.
Ethanol output is improving, but weak domestic demand and export headwinds temper optimism about corn demand. Renewable Fuels Association President & CEO Geoff Cooper discusses the latest developments on Federal approval of year-round E15.
In the U.S. and Canada, reduced planted acres—not yield losses—led to a decline in potato production, while Mexico saw modest gains due to increased yields and harvested areas.
Corn demand remains supportive, but weaker soybean buying limits overall export momentum.
China’s reliance on imported soybeans remains entrenched, shaping global demand and trade leverage.
Tight cattle supplies favor poultry and pork while keeping beef margins under pressure.

Tony St. James joined the RFD-TV talent team in August 2024, bringing a wealth of experience and a fresh perspective to RFD-TV and Rural Radio Channel 147 Sirius XM. In addition to his role as Market Specialist (collaborating with Scott “The Cow Guy” Shellady to provide radio and TV audiences with the latest updates on ag commodity markets), he hosts “Rural America Live” and serves as talent for trade shows.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

India trade tensions may affect the U.S. export outlook.
USDA’s March WASDE report leaves U.S. corn, soybean and wheat ending stocks unchanged while adjusting global production estimates for South America.
Tariff revenues rarely flow directly back to farmers.
U.S. Agriculture Faces Mixed Weather, Market Pressures
Strong exports and production support ongoing corn demand.
Strong consumer demand supports livestock market outlook.
Agriculture Shows
Hosted by Scott “The Cow Guy” Shellady and RFD News Markets Specialist Tony St. James, Commodity Talk delivers expert insight into the day’s ag commodity markets just before the CME opens. Only on RFD-TV and Rural Radio SiriusXM Channel 147.
A look at the news, weather and commodities headlines that drove agriculture markets in the past week.
Everything profits from prairie. Soil, air, water — and all kinds of life! Learn how you can improve your land with prairie restoration, cover crops and prairie strips, while growing your bottom line.
Special 3-part series tells the story of the Claas family’s legacy, which changed agriculture forever.