Ethanol Output Edges Higher As Demand Softens Modestly

Ethanol plants kept production steady, but softer gasoline demand and lower exports may limit near-term momentum.

Farmland producing ethanol for the oil and gas industry. Railroad tankers cars lined up near a ethanol plant at sunset_Photo by photogrfx via AdobeStock_496174713.png

Photo by photogrfx via Adobe Stock

NASHVILLE, Tenn. (RFD NEWS) — According to EIA data analyzed by the Renewable Fuels Association, U.S. ethanol production moved slightly higher in the week ending May 1, even as gasoline demand and exports eased. Output rose 0.8 percent to 1.02 million barrels per day, equal to 42.71 million gallons daily. That was 0.3 percent below the same week last year but 3.4 percent above the five-year average.

The longer-term pace was weaker. The four-week average ethanol production rate slipped 2.2 percent to 1.05 million barrels per day, equal to an annualized 16.09 billion gallons. Ethanol stocks also inched higher, rising 0.5 percent to 26.0 million barrels.

Inventories were 3.3 percent above a year ago and nearly 12 percent above the five-year average. Stocks increased in every region except the East Coast, showing supply remains comfortable even with production still running near the one-million-barrel mark.

On the demand side, gasoline supplied fell 3.2 percent to 8.81 million barrels per day, a four-week low. Refiner and blender net ethanol inputs also declined 1.6 percent, while exports dropped 18.2 percent to 139,000 barrels per day.

Farm-Level Takeaway: Ethanol plants kept production steady, but softer gasoline demand and lower exports may limit near-term momentum.
Tony St. James, RFD News Markets Specialist
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Overall, the report suggests a shift toward more comfortable supply levels, with demand emerging as a key factor to watch in the months ahead.

Tony St. James joined the RFD-TV talent team in August 2024, bringing a wealth of experience and a fresh perspective to RFD-TV and Rural Radio Channel 147 Sirius XM. In addition to his role as Market Specialist (collaborating with Scott “The Cow Guy” Shellady to provide radio and TV audiences with the latest updates on ag commodity markets), he hosts “Rural America Live” and serves as talent for trade shows.

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