Ethanol Production Climbs As Demand Strengthens, Exports Fall

Strong ethanol output supports corn demand despite export weakness.

Ethanol gasoline fuel nozzle and corn kernels. Biofuel, agriculture and fuel price concept

JJ Gouin - stock.adobe.com

LUBBOCK, TEXAS (RFD NEWS) — Ethanol production increased last week, providing support to corn demand even as export activity dropped sharply, according to EIA data analyzed by the Renewable Fuels Association.

Production rose 0.4 percent to 1.12 million barrels per day, a five-week high and more than 10 percent above year-ago levels. The four-week average also climbed, putting output on pace for more than 17 billion gallons annually. Strong production levels continue to reinforce domestic corn usage tied to ethanol demand.

Gasoline demand — a key driver for ethanol blending — jumped 6.1 percent to a five-week high, running well above both last year and the three-year average. That strength is helping support the ethanol market despite mixed signals elsewhere.

However, ethanol exports fell sharply, dropping more than 60 percent on the week. At the same time, refiner and blender inputs declined to a six-week low, suggesting some near-term softness in blending activity.

Ethanol stocks increased 2.5 percent, with builds concentrated along the East and Gulf Coasts, adding to available supply.

Farm-Level Takeaway: Strong ethanol output supports corn demand despite export weakness.
Tony St. James, RFD NEWS Markets Specialist
Related Stories
Purdue University Professor of Agricultural Economics Dr. Jim Mintert shares a closer look at farmer sentiment and the key issues shaping the agricultural economy in January.
Stronger U.S.-Guatemala trade rules favor dependable, regionally integrated supply chains — rewarding execution and commitment over cost-only sourcing.
China-led demand continues to anchor soybean and sorghum exports despite weekly swings.
Shrinking slaughter capacity may delay heifer retention, complicating herd rebuilding plans.
Securing Critical Water Resources for South Texas Agriculture
RealAg Radio host Shaun Haney says farmers there are already sounding the alarm about what this could mean for the future of ag research.

Tony St. James joined the RFD-TV talent team in August 2024, bringing a wealth of experience and a fresh perspective to RFD-TV and Rural Radio Channel 147 Sirius XM. In addition to his role as Market Specialist (collaborating with Scott “The Cow Guy” Shellady to provide radio and TV audiences with the latest updates on ag commodity markets), he hosts “Rural America Live” and serves as talent for trade shows.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

Strong production and rising stocks may pressure ethanol margins unless demand or exports continue to improve.
Rising import pressure and tougher export competition are likely to persist into 2026, supporting domestic supplies while capping export growth.
Without additional support, many soybean operations will continue to face financial stress as they prepare for the 2026 crop.
Placements and marketings beat expectations, but declining on-feed totals and feeder constraints keep the supply story supportive for cattle prices into 2026. Dr. Derrell Peel, with Oklahoma State University, joined us to break down cattle-on-feed numbers and provide his broader market outlook.
Rural population growth and stabilizing economic indicators point to post-pandemic recovery, but uneven income, shifting industries, and regional divides remain key challenges for rural communities.
Large-scale land purchases signal rising competition for ranchland, reinforcing its value while reshaping long-term access and control in rural agriculture.
Agriculture Shows
Hosted by Scott “The Cow Guy” Shellady and RFD News Markets Specialist Tony St. James, Commodity Talk delivers expert insight into the day’s ag commodity markets just before the CME opens. Only on RFD-TV and Rural Radio SiriusXM Channel 147.
A look at the news, weather and commodities headlines that drove agriculture markets in the past week.
Everything profits from prairie. Soil, air, water — and all kinds of life! Learn how you can improve your land with prairie restoration, cover crops and prairie strips, while growing your bottom line.
Special 3-part series tells the story of the Claas family’s legacy, which changed agriculture forever.