Ethanol Production, Exports Grow as Rail Demand Shifts

Strong exports and production support ongoing corn demand.

Farmland producing ethanol for the oil and gas industry. Railroad tankers cars lined up near a ethanol plant at sunset_Photo by photogrfx via AdobeStock_496174713.png

Photo by photogrfx via Adobe Stock

NASHVILLE, Tenn. (RFD NEWS) — U.S. ethanol production and exports strengthened in 2025, reinforcing corn demand and reshaping transportation patterns across major domestic and export corridors.

Production rose 2 percent from 2024 and was 8 percent above the five-year average, supported by large corn supplies, improved plant efficiency, and firm international demand. Rail remained the dominant transport mode, moving 68 percent of Midwest output, with shipments primarily routed to the East Coast, Gulf Coast, and West Coast fuel markets.

Overall, Class I rail movements rose 1 percent from 2024 and 10 percent from the five-year average, though second-half rail volumes declined slightly as some shipments shifted to truck and barge.

Farm-Level Takeaway: Strong exports and production support ongoing corn demand.
Tony St. James, RFD NEWS Markets Specialist

Exports accounted for about 15 percent of total U.S. ethanol demand in 2025, reaching 2.18 billion gallons — up 13 percent year over year and 52 percent above the five-year average. Canada, the Netherlands, India, the United Kingdom, and Colombia purchased 76 percent of shipments, driven largely by national blending mandates ranging from E5 to E20.

Looking ahead, federal forecasts show ethanol production and exports holding near record levels into 2026 as blending demand stabilizes and corn use for ethanol rises.

Related Stories
A fast-moving series of trade signals from the White House and key partners is resetting the near-term outlook for U.S. agriculture.
Stay alert for trade announcements—especially border reopening timelines, tariff threats, and developments in Brazil’s export flows.
Margin Protection and the new MCO add county-level margin tools — with earlier price discovery, input cost triggers, and high subsidy rates — to complement on-farm risk plans for 2026.
Set targets and use forwards, futures, or options to manage downside while preserving room for rallies.
Bangladesh’s buying surge offers temporary relief for U.S. farmers facing weaker Chinese demand, highlighting how global politics can reshape export outlets overnight.

Tony St. James joined the RFD-TV talent team in August 2024, bringing a wealth of experience and a fresh perspective to RFD-TV and Rural Radio Channel 147 Sirius XM. In addition to his role as Market Specialist (collaborating with Scott “The Cow Guy” Shellady to provide radio and TV audiences with the latest updates on ag commodity markets), he hosts “Rural America Live” and serves as talent for trade shows.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

Harvest Marches on as River Logistics And Inputs Steer Bids
Farmers who rely on H-2A workers will see a few key changes to speed up the process and make it fairer. On the ground, producers say labor issues create shortfalls in otherwise productive harvests.
Industry leaders representing more than 40 nations gathered to discuss the future of ethanol and other corn-based products.
Farmers display a unique optimism — planting with the expectation that weather, basis, and prices will improve by harvest — asserting that the profession is an identity, not just a job.
Imported lean beef continues to play a critical role in U.S. hamburger and ground-beef production, with any added volume from Argentina serving as a supplement — not a market overhaul.
For aging operators and their rural neighbors, staying socially engaged is a practical strategy to preserve decision-making capacity and farm vitality.