Despite recent issues, cattle producers are holding steady right now.
One rancher says there is still money to be made, but notes it has been difficult.
“We continue to face extreme costs as it relates to fertilizer, of course, our insurance, and just anything you touch that’s in our space. Fortunately, good Lord willing, and that the creek doesn’t rise, we’ve got unbelievable markets right now,” said Carl Ray Polk.
Polk says his costs have risen consistently over the last few years. Market access has been a concern for some beef producers, with China now largely removed from the U.S. market.
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Winter Weather, Drought Shape Early 2026 Farm Conditions
Protein markets are fragmenting. Beef is supply-driven and more structurally expensive, whereas pork and poultry remain price-competitive.
Tight fed supplies shift margin risk to packers, strengthening cattle price leverage but increasing volatility.
Expanding chicken supplies are likely to keep prices under pressure in early 2026 despite steady demand growth.
Reduced winter placements indicate tighter fed cattle supplies and greater leverage during peak-demand months.
Federal nutrition policy is signaling a stronger demand for whole foods produced by U.S. farmers and ranchers. Consumer-facing guidance favors animal protein, but institutional demand may change little under existing saturated fat limits.
