Market analysts on trade with China: “It’s not going to change on a whim”

As U.S. leaders work to secure more trade deals, there is still some hope that China will return to the U.S. soybean market.

The Senior Market Analyst for Barchart, and frequent Market Day Report guest, Darin Newsom says it might not happen again in our lifetimes.

“No, the U.S. is not going to regain its foothold. There’s nothing that’s going to happen that’s going to change that again. This is long-term damage that has been done in trade relations. Long-term to China is not what the U.S. thinks, which is hours to maybe days; it’s a very short attention span. The U.S. is known for its ADHD. China, long-term, is centuries, so you know, we’re not dealing with something that’s just going to change on a whim, much like what we see happening here in the U.S. So, no, the U.S. isn’t going to immediately jump back into the game. it’s going to take a long time to rebuild any sort of demand coming from China.”

Finding a trade balance with China has been a top priority for the Administration this week. Several cabinet members just returned from London after meeting with Chinese officials. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent was part of that delegation, who is testifying before the House and Ways Committee currently.

Related Stories
The latest developments point to shifting export routes, higher congestion risk, and continuing cost pressure for grain, fertilizer, and energy shipments.
Industry leaders gather in Mexico City to strengthen trade and showcase product quality.
HTS Commodities broker Lewis Williamson joins us to break down the latest USDA Crop Progress Report and how weather and global supply chain issues could influence planting conditions moving forward.
Purdue University’s Dr. Michael Langemeier joins us to break down the latest read on farmer sentiment in the April Ag Economy Barometer, and growing concerns about the impact of global conflict on farm inputs and income.
Higher freight rates and potential service disruptions are key concerns for agriculture, which relies heavily on rail to move commodities.
Growth Energy CEO Emily Skor joins us to discuss the uncertain path for year-round E15 sales and the next steps as the issue heads toward a standalone House vote after it was stripped from the Farm Bill.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

Scouts say yields are landing close to USDA projections as they monitor drought pressure and abandonment concerns.
U.S. Wheat Associates is expanding into global fish feed markets, with early gains in South America and new opportunities emerging in Ecuador’s shrimp industry.
Dr. Jeffrey Gold discusses the recent hantavirus outbreak linked to a South American cruise ship and Nebraska’s monitoring efforts on this week’s Rural Health Matters.
Andy Tauer from the National Pork Board discusses efforts to boost pork demand and how the industry is responding to trade restrictions related to pseudorabies.
Dr. Robert Ellis joins us to discuss economic challenges in agriculture, available resources for farmers, and ways producers can evaluate practices to strengthen their operations.
While there is no guarantee a House vote will happen today, the measure has officially been placed on the congressional calendar.