Mixed Conditions Emerge as Eleventh District Agriculture Stabilizes

Strong yields and higher cattle prices helped stabilize conditions, but weak crop prices and rising carryover debt remain major challenges for Eleventh District farmers.

frozen funds usda money farm programs_Photo by ivandanru via Adobe Stock.jpg

Photo by ivandanru via Adobe Stock

Adobe Stock

DALLAS, Texas (RFD-TV) — Farm finances in the Eleventh Federal Reserve District showed a modest improvement in the third quarter of 2025, helped by widespread summer rains that lifted crop yields and supported pasture conditions. Despite stronger production, bankers reported that low commodity prices continue to pressure farm incomes, especially for row-crop operations entering harvest with several years of weak margins and growing carryover debt. Lenders noted that many farmers are having difficulty preparing 2026 budgets as input costs remain elevated and grain futures remain soft, increasing the likelihood of extended credit and a heavier reliance on government assistance.

Credit conditions reflected these stresses. Loan demand declined during the quarter, even as the availability of funds increased and repayment rates moved only slightly lower. Renewals and extensions continued to rise, suggesting that producers are working to bridge income shortfalls with operating credit. Loan volumes fell across most categories except operating loans. Land markets presented a mixed picture: dryland and ranchland values increased, irrigated land slipped, and cash rents rose for irrigated acres but fell for dryland and ranchland. Bankers also anticipated a downward trend in farmland values heading into winter.

Livestock producers remained a bright spot. Record-high cattle prices continued to bolster ranch incomes and improve repayment strength, creating a clear divide between crop-focused and livestock-focused borrowers as year-end approaches.

Farm-Level Takeaway: Strong yields and higher cattle prices helped stabilize conditions, but weak crop prices and rising carryover debt remain major challenges for Eleventh District farmers.
Tony St. James, RFD-TV Markets Specialist

Tony St. James joined the RFD-TV talent team in August 2024, bringing a wealth of experience and a fresh perspective to RFD-TV and Rural Radio Channel 147 Sirius XM. In addition to his role as Market Specialist (collaborating with Scott “The Cow Guy” Shellady to provide radio and TV audiences with the latest updates on ag commodity markets), he hosts “Rural America Live” and serves as talent for trade shows.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

Talks highlight the widening role of agriculture in U.S.–India trade policy, though neither side appears ready for major concessions before tariff issues and oil imports are resolved.
Southern farms are deepening online engagement for cost savings and market access, while higher-cost precision technologies face renewed scrutiny amid tight budgets.
Global trade teams and summit discussions highlight expanding opportunities for U.S. corn and ethanol exports as nations explore renewable fuel options and reduced-carbon energy pathways.
Slightly higher output amid softer gasoline pull points to steady corn grind — watch regional stocks and export pace for basis clues.
Expect firm calf and fed-cattle prices — pair selective heifer retention with prudent hedging and liquidity to bridge rebuilding costs.
Using FEMA and USDA data, Trace One researchers estimate average annual U.S. agricultural losses of $3.48 billion, with drought accounting for more than half.