NASHVILLE, Tenn. (RFD-TV) — As the calendar turns to 2026, producers across the country are balancing winter weather management with early marketing and planning decisions. Livestock markets remain supply-driven, grain movement is seasonally uneven, and moisture conditions continue to shape outlooks for winter wheat, forage, and specialty crops. Input costs, logistics, and policy developments remain front of mind as producers position for the year ahead.
Great Plains
- Texas — Cattle supplies remain tight, with feeder availability limited and border uncertainty still impacting placement decisions. Wheat pasture conditions remain mixed, with dryland acres needing moisture. Cotton ginning is largely complete, and marketing decisions are extending into early 2026.
- Oklahoma — Winter wheat stands remain uneven, with grazing pressure increasing where moisture was adequate. Cow-calf operators focused on winter feed management.
- Kansas — Feedlot inventories steady, but placements remain constrained. Wheat is fully dormant under mixed soil moisture conditions.
- Nebraska — Corn movement supported by ethanol demand, keeping interior basis firm. Cold weather raises feedlot energy costs.
- North & South Dakota — Grain movement slowed by winter weather. Calf marketing is steady but lighter as producers retain inventory.
Midwest
- Iowa — Ethanol production continues to support corn demand, though margins are mixed. Hog producers are monitoring price pressure and feed costs.
- Illinois — Interior basis stronger than river markets amid seasonal barge disruptions. Fertilizer and input purchasing are underway.
- Indiana & Ohio — Corn and soybean marketing decisions tied closely to export demand and early 2026 price outlooks.
- Minnesota & Wisconsin — Dairy margins are tightening as national milk production rises. Feed supplies are adequate, but energy costs remain elevated.
Delta & South
- Arkansas — Rice and soybean marketing steady; barge traffic improving but still weather-sensitive.
- Louisiana — Grain movement slowed by river conditions; export demand mixed.
- Mississippi — Corn and soybean basis stable; producers watching logistics closely.
- Georgia & Alabama — Cotton marketing continues; poultry integrators managing higher feed costs.
- Florida — Vegetable producers are dealing with lingering drought stress in northern areas and increasing irrigation demands.
West & Southwest
- California — Strong milk production continues to pressure dairy prices. Vegetable and processing tomato sectors are adjusting to high yields and softer pricing.
- Arizona & New Mexico — Forage availability stable; livestock producers focused on water management and winter feed.
- Colorado & Utah — Wheat and forage crops dormant; livestock operations focused on weather protection and feed costs.
- Nevada — Hay movement steady; water availability shaping longer-term planning.
Northwest & Northern Rockies
- Washington & Oregon — Grain exports remain active despite recent rail challenges. Tree fruit storage and marketing are ongoing.
- Idaho — The potato and dairy sectors are monitoring price pressures amid strong production levels.
- Montana & Wyoming — Cattle markets steady; hay supplies adequate, though winter conditions are increasing costs.
Northeast
- New York & Pennsylvania — Dairy producers reviewing risk management strategies as milk supplies expand nationally.
- Maryland & Delaware — Grain movement steady; poultry operations adjusting to higher energy expenses.
- New England — Specialty crop and greenhouse operations focused on winter energy costs and local market demand.
Upper Midwest & Great Lakes
- Michigan — Dry beans, sugar beets, and dairy are facing margin pressure. Basis is stronger away from river terminals.
- Wisconsin — Cheese production supporting milk demand, but rising supplies continue to weigh on prices.
Far North & Territories
- Alaska — Feed and fuel logistics remain costly; producers focused on winter supply security.
- U.S. Territories — Freight delays and transportation costs continue to challenge agricultural input and output flows.
Related Stories
For tight margins, contract grazing leverages existing acres into new income streams and spreads risk. Here are some tips for row crop farmers looking to diversify.
Texas Cattle Feeders Association Chairman Robby Kirkland explains how the ongoing U.S.-Mexico border closure impacts feed yards that rely on Mexican cattle due to the New World Screwworm.
Global nitrogen and phosphate prices remain high despite improved supply fundamentals, with limited Chinese exports and stronger fall applications tightening availability.
Record output, larger stocks, and softer exports point to a well-supplied domestic ethanol market as harvest progresses.
U.S. sugar producers and processors should brace for price pressure and challenging export logistics with global sugar supply ramping up — driven by Brazil, India, and Thailand — especially at the raw processing level.
Livestock profits are propping up overall sentiment, but crop producers remain cautious amid tight margins and uncertain policy signals.
RaboResearch says China’s pivot from mass production to innovation-driven growth could reshape global pesticide supply chains — and influence prices and product access for U.S. farmers in the coming years.
Recent U.S.–China trade developments provided a small lift for soy markets, though most traders are waiting for concrete purchase data before making major moves.
According to the new report, seven out of ten rural bankers support President Trump’s recent trade steps with China, expressing cautious optimism about future export potential.
