National Crop Progress and Agribusiness Update—Monday, January 5, 2026

Weather, Tight Supplies, and Planning Shape Farm Decisions

Crop Progress Graphic

NASHVILLE, Tenn. (RFD-TV) — As the calendar turns to 2026, producers across the country are balancing winter weather management with early marketing and planning decisions. Livestock markets remain supply-driven, grain movement is seasonally uneven, and moisture conditions continue to shape outlooks for winter wheat, forage, and specialty crops. Input costs, logistics, and policy developments remain front of mind as producers position for the year ahead.

Great Plains

  • Texas — Cattle supplies remain tight, with feeder availability limited and border uncertainty still impacting placement decisions. Wheat pasture conditions remain mixed, with dryland acres needing moisture. Cotton ginning is largely complete, and marketing decisions are extending into early 2026.
  • Oklahoma — Winter wheat stands remain uneven, with grazing pressure increasing where moisture was adequate. Cow-calf operators focused on winter feed management.
  • Kansas — Feedlot inventories steady, but placements remain constrained. Wheat is fully dormant under mixed soil moisture conditions.
  • Nebraska — Corn movement supported by ethanol demand, keeping interior basis firm. Cold weather raises feedlot energy costs.
  • North & South Dakota — Grain movement slowed by winter weather. Calf marketing is steady but lighter as producers retain inventory.

Midwest

  • Iowa — Ethanol production continues to support corn demand, though margins are mixed. Hog producers are monitoring price pressure and feed costs.
  • Illinois — Interior basis stronger than river markets amid seasonal barge disruptions. Fertilizer and input purchasing are underway.
  • Indiana & Ohio — Corn and soybean marketing decisions tied closely to export demand and early 2026 price outlooks.
  • Minnesota & Wisconsin — Dairy margins are tightening as national milk production rises. Feed supplies are adequate, but energy costs remain elevated.

Delta & South

  • Arkansas — Rice and soybean marketing steady; barge traffic improving but still weather-sensitive.
  • Louisiana — Grain movement slowed by river conditions; export demand mixed.
  • Mississippi — Corn and soybean basis stable; producers watching logistics closely.
  • Georgia & Alabama — Cotton marketing continues; poultry integrators managing higher feed costs.
  • Florida — Vegetable producers are dealing with lingering drought stress in northern areas and increasing irrigation demands.

West & Southwest

  • California — Strong milk production continues to pressure dairy prices. Vegetable and processing tomato sectors are adjusting to high yields and softer pricing.
  • Arizona & New Mexico — Forage availability stable; livestock producers focused on water management and winter feed.
  • Colorado & Utah — Wheat and forage crops dormant; livestock operations focused on weather protection and feed costs.
  • Nevada — Hay movement steady; water availability shaping longer-term planning.

Northwest & Northern Rockies

  • Washington & Oregon — Grain exports remain active despite recent rail challenges. Tree fruit storage and marketing are ongoing.
  • Idaho — The potato and dairy sectors are monitoring price pressures amid strong production levels.
  • Montana & Wyoming — Cattle markets steady; hay supplies adequate, though winter conditions are increasing costs.

Northeast

  • New York & Pennsylvania — Dairy producers reviewing risk management strategies as milk supplies expand nationally.
  • Maryland & Delaware — Grain movement steady; poultry operations adjusting to higher energy expenses.
  • New England — Specialty crop and greenhouse operations focused on winter energy costs and local market demand.

Upper Midwest & Great Lakes

  • Michigan — Dry beans, sugar beets, and dairy are facing margin pressure. Basis is stronger away from river terminals.
  • Wisconsin — Cheese production supporting milk demand, but rising supplies continue to weigh on prices.

Far North & Territories

  • Alaska — Feed and fuel logistics remain costly; producers focused on winter supply security.
  • U.S. Territories — Freight delays and transportation costs continue to challenge agricultural input and output flows.
Related Stories
Brandy Carroll with the Arkansas Farm Bureau shares an update on planting conditions and what producers are facing this season.
RealAg Radio host Shaun Haney explains shifting global trade dynamics and what they could mean for agriculture and energy markets.
Rising diesel and energy costs are squeezing farmers and rural communities, increasing production expenses and raising concerns about consumer demand for beef even as U.S. meat exports regain the Australian market.
Texas ranchers and lawmakers warn of renewed New World screwworm risks, highlighting prevention efforts, border concerns, and the role of sterile flies in protecting U.S. livestock.
Farm Bureau economist Danny Munch discusses the USDA’s request for feedback on data and research, how such requests work, and what farmers should know about submitting comments before the Thursday, April 9 deadline.
Georgia Ag Commissioner Tyler Harper explains the growing threat of invasive hornets in his state and what Southeastern growers should watch for this spring.

Tony St. James joined the RFD-TV talent team in August 2024, bringing a wealth of experience and a fresh perspective to RFD-TV and Rural Radio Channel 147 Sirius XM. In addition to his role as Market Specialist (collaborating with Scott “The Cow Guy” Shellady to provide radio and TV audiences with the latest updates on ag commodity markets), he hosts “Rural America Live” and serves as talent for trade shows.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

Strong exports and prices are helping offset rising milk supplies.
U.S. Rep. Dusty Johnson of South Dakota joined us to discuss rising input costs, fertilizer transparency efforts, and the role of trade in supporting farmer profitability.
U.S. Secretary of Agriculture Brooke Rollins joined us to discuss fertilizer markets, domestic supply efforts, trade priorities, and ongoing policy work aimed at stabilizing costs for U.S. farmers.
Louisiana State University Professor Shelly Pate Kerns says a late freeze forced widespread replanting of some crops across the state.
RealAg Radio’s Shaun Haney discusses the DOJ investigation into U.S. beef packers, concerns about cattle pricing, and ongoing trade and animal health issues affecting producers.
Strong demand for U.S. beef in Mexico is boosting exports, with buyers seeking both variety meats and high-quality cuts like Prime and Choice ribeye.
Agriculture Shows
Farm Monitor shines a light on Southeastern agriculture and is the only weekly news and information program dedicated to Georgia’s largest and most important industry: agriculture.
Check out FFA Today, a fun and fast-paced show featuring fascinating stories about amazing kids and unique agriculture industries.
Farmweek is broadcast from Mississippi, one of the South’s most geographically diverse states. The Magnolia State’s most important resource is its people—and about a fourth of the state’s population hold jobs tied to agriculture.
“DocTalk” with host Dr. Dan Thomson will be teaming up with practitioners around the country to tackle issues with your livestock.