National Crop Progress and Agribusiness Update - Monday, October 20, 2025

Harvest Pace, Logistics, and Input Costs Drive Fall Decisions

Crop Progress Graphic

NASHVILLE, Tenn. (RFD-TV) — Here is a regional snapshot of harvest pace, crop conditions, logistics, and livestock economics across U.S. agriculture this week.

General Notes:

U.S. corn harvest was widely estimated near the mid-40 percent range as of last week; soybeans trailed but were accelerating — consistent with a typical late-October pace.

Lower Mississippi and adjacent waterways continue to see operational constraints (draft limits, tow size reductions), affecting barge velocity and basis near river terminals.

Great Plains

  • Texas — Cotton picking expands in the High Plains and Rolling Plains; sorghum and late corn wind down. Wheat pasture prospects improve where scattered moisture hit; cow-calf marketing steady.
  • Oklahoma — Cotton progress varies by district; winter wheat seeding pushes ahead of hoped-for moisture. Weaning timing and placements in focus with feeder demand steady.
  • Kansas — Late corn and sorghum finish; winter wheat seeding advances with subsoil moisture dictating stands. Cattle placements steady with fall runs.
  • Nebraska — Corn/soy harvest gathers speed; ethanol and feeders support interior bids. Backgrounders manage fall transitions and water availability.
  • South Dakota & North Dakota — Soy and corn harvest pick up; basis firmer away from river terminals. Calf runs increase; pasture quality variable after late-season dryness.

Midwest

  • Iowa — Soy leads harvest; corn follows as dryers fire up. Local crush and feeders compete while the river movement stays cautious.
  • Illinois — Beans and corn roll between damp spells; river basis soft on draft limits, interior bids firmer. Fall NH3 booking steady.
  • Indiana & Ohio — Combines hit more soy first; corn moisture easing. Wheat seeding follows bean harvest on fit soils; the processor vs. river basis bifurcates.
  • Minnesota, Wisconsin, Michigan — Soy/corn advance as temps allow; sugarbeets and dry beans (MI) active. Early freezes a watch item in northern tiers; dairy eyeing feed and energy.
  • Missouri — Soy/corn accelerate; river basis softer where tow restrictions bite. Cow-calf weaning decisions shaped by mixed hay quality.

Delta & South

  • Arkansas — Rice and soy expand with selective drying; cotton picking is accelerating. Some grain was rerouted to rail/interior users as river logistics stay tight.
  • Louisiana & Mississippi — Cane (LA) steps up; rice/beans move between showers; poultry steady. River tightness nudges more truck/rail.
  • Alabama, Georgia, Florida — Peanuts and cotton advance; vegetables stage for holiday programs with tight labor/logistics in FL. Poultry supports in-state feed use.
  • Kentucky & Tennessee — Tobacco curing wraps; soy/cotton harvest builds. River vs. interior bids diverge; cattle receipts rise with fall runs.
  • North Carolina, South Carolina, Virginia — Peanuts/cotton progress; sweet potatoes lift (NC). Poultry/hogs steady; small-grain seeding follows on fit ground.

West & Southwest

  • Arizona & New Mexico — Desert veg ramps; dairies/feedlots monitor inputs as nights cool. Chile/pecan/hay work continues (NM).
  • Colorado, Utah, Nevada — Corn silage wraps; grain corn and beets advance (CO). Final alfalfa cuttings in UT/NV; winter water and feed planning front-and-center.
  • California — Sacramento Valley rice harvest advances; almonds/walnuts/pistachios move through hulling. Labor and freight remain primary constraints; coastal veg in shoulder-season windows.

Northwest & Northern Rockies

  • Washington & Oregon — Apples/pears in full swing; post-harvest wheat moving to export channels. Hay trade favors top dairy tests in eastern districts.
  • Idaho, Montana, Wyoming — Potatoes lift and storages fill (ID); beets advance. Winter wheat planting continues with variable moisture; calves ship with freight, the swing factor

Northeast

  • New York & Pennsylvania — Corn silage largely wrapped; grain harvest building. Dairy adjusts rations and bedding as nights cool; feed and energy costs in focus.
  • New England (ME, VT, NH, MA, CT, RI) — Apples and fall direct-market vegetables drive cash flow; greenhouses/tunnels prep for winter greens. Livestock owners line up hay and bedding.
  • New Jersey, Delaware, Maryland — Soy harvest expanding; small-grain seeding follows. Poultry integrators steady; litter and propane plans set for fall.

Upper Midwest & Great Lakes

  • Ohio, Michigan, Wisconsin — Soy first, corn close behind; lake-effect showers the wild card. Basis steady-to-firm away from river constraints; sugarbeet campaigns active (MI/WI).

Far North & Territories

  • Alaska — Root crops and greenhouse produce wind down; storage quality and energy costs dominate winter prep.
  • Puerto Rico — Coffee harvest care and storm readiness in parallel; dairy margins hinge on feed and energy
Related Stories
Our list of artists who definitively shaped the genre that we recognize today as country music.
A personal note from Raquel Gottsch, co-owner of Rural Media Group and President/CEO of FarmHER.

Tony St. James joined the RFD-TV talent team in August 2024, bringing a wealth of experience and a fresh perspective to RFD-TV and Rural Radio Channel 147 Sirius XM. In addition to his role as Market Specialist (collaborating with Scott “The Cow Guy” Shellady to provide radio and TV audiences with the latest updates on ag commodity markets), he hosts “Rural America Live” and serves as talent for trade shows.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

Retail competition and improved supplies are helping offset food inflation, pushing Thanksgiving meal costs modestly lower despite higher prices for beef, eggs, and dairy.
While agriculture doesn’t predict every recession, the sector’s long history of turning down before the broader economy
The ACRE Act modestly reduces farmland borrowing costs now, with more savings possible once federal guidance clarifies which loans qualify.
ARC-CO delivers the bulk of 2024 support, offering key margin relief as producers manage tight operating conditions.
Higher menu prices and tax-free tips are reshaping restaurant economics, sharply lifting server take-home pay even as diners face higher out-the-door costs.
USDA’s steady yields and heavy global stocks keep grains range-bound unless demand firms or South American weather becomes a real threat.
Agriculture Shows
From soil to harvest. Top Crop is an all-new series about four of the best farmers in the world—Dan Luepkes, of Oregan, Illinois; Cory Atley, of Cedarville, Ohio; Shelby Fite, of Jackson Center, Ohio; Russell Hedrick, of Hickory, North Carolina—reveals what it takes for them to make a profitable crop. It all starts with good soil, patience, and a strong planter setup.
Champions of Rural America is a half-hour dive into the legislative priorities for Rural America. Join us as we interview members of the Congressional Western Caucus to learn about efforts in Washington to preserve agriculture and tackles the most important topics in the ag industry on Champions of Rural America!
Featuring members of Congress, federal and state officials, ag and food leaders, farmers, and roundtable panelists for debates and discussions.
The goal of “Where the Food Comes From” is as simple as its name implies — host Chip Carter takes you along on the journey of where our food comes from — and we don’t just mean to the supermarket (though that’s part of the big picture!). But beyond where it comes from, how it gets there, and all the links in the chain that make that happen.
Join markets specialist Scott Shellady, better known as the Cow Guy, as he covers the market-close, breaking down headlines that drive the commodities and equities markets with commentary from respected industry heavyweights.