The markets have responded in recent weeks to the rollout of President Trump’s trade policy. Analysts are closely watching the action in recent days but warn that the events of the last couple of weeks likely have not been accounted for yet.
“I don’t think they’ve priced it fully in, and I will circle back around to the soy complex. We’ve had a very weak product market. The biofuel, sustainable aviation fuel bulls in soybean oil have been very disappointed. They have probably been pushed out of the market. There’s probably a sense that they’re going to come back in,” said Mike Zuzolo.
Zuzolo says any future action in the soy complex will largely depend on what the EPA decides with blending in the coming months.
Related Stories
The debate now matters as much as the policy — market rules and regulatory clarity depend on whether Congress can finish the bill this year.
The U.S. Supreme Court ruled on Friday that imposing duties without Congressional authorization exceeds presidential powers. RealAg Radio host Shaun Haney joins us to discuss the potential trade and agriculture implications of the recent ruling.
Fertilizer still consumes an unusually large share of crop value.
The USDA Agricultural Outlook Forum highlights modest price support from tighter supplies across cotton, grains, dairy, livestock, and sugar into 2026.
The global rice surplus outweighs tighter U.S. supplies, pressuring prices.
Smaller supplies could support cotton prices despite weak demand.