Recent trade action likely isn’t priced into the markets yet, analysts say

The markets have responded in recent weeks to the rollout of President Trump’s trade policy. Analysts are closely watching the action in recent days but warn that the events of the last couple of weeks likely have not been accounted for yet.

“I don’t think they’ve priced it fully in, and I will circle back around to the soy complex. We’ve had a very weak product market. The biofuel, sustainable aviation fuel bulls in soybean oil have been very disappointed. They have probably been pushed out of the market. There’s probably a sense that they’re going to come back in,” said Mike Zuzolo.

Zuzolo says any future action in the soy complex will largely depend on what the EPA decides with blending in the coming months.

Related Stories
Early indications suggest the U.S. cattle industry may be nearing the end of its liquidation phase. Oklahoma State University livestock economist Dr. Derrell Peel says the industry could be at or near the cyclical low.
Reliable waterways lower costs, protect export demand, and support long-term farm profitability.
USDA Undersecretary for Trade and Foreign Agricultural Affairs Luke Lindberg joined us with a recap of the Malaysia trade mission and a look at USDA’s broader trade strategy moving forward.
Mike Steenhoek of the Soy Transportation Coalition shares how extreme winter weather is affecting the ag transportation network and what producers should keep in mind as conditions slowly improve.
Mixed product pricing and rising milk supplies suggest margin management will remain critical as 2026 unfolds.
Corn and soybean exports continue to anchor weekly inspection totals, with China maintaining a visible role, while wheat and sorghum remain more dependent on regional and seasonal demand shifts.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

Richard Gupton of the Agricultural Retailers Association discusses the EPA’s new decision on over-the-top Dicamba and what it means for growers this year.
Gretchen Kuck of the National Corn Growers Association joined us to discuss the Ag Coalition for USMCA’s report findings and expectations ahead of the upcoming USMCA review.
Kevin Charleston of Specialty Risk Insurance discusses the importance of grain bin safety and joint efforts with Nationwide to provide farmers and first responders with access to critical, life-saving rescue tubes.
RealAg Radio host Sean Haney outlines the Trump Administration’s current trade priorities and what meaningful market expansion looks like for farmers.
Dr. Kelly Bruns from the Nebraska College of Technical Agriculture discusses how the college prepares students for careers in agriculture.