RFD News Weekly Crop Progress, Livestock Production and Agribusiness Summary — Monday, January 12, 2026

Winter Weather, Drought Shape Early 2026 Farm Conditions

Crop Progress Graphic

NASHVILLE, Tenn. (RFD News) — Cold temperatures, uneven moisture, and lingering drought concerns defined agricultural conditions across much of the country as producers entered January 2026. USDA Crop Progress State Stories show winter wheat, livestock, and forage conditions remain highly dependent on regional moisture patterns, while most row-crop fieldwork has slowed for the season.

Great Plains

  • Kansas - Winter wheat remains mostly fair to good, but persistent dryness continues to limit soil moisture recharge. Producers report increased concern about spring yield potential if precipitation does not improve.
  • Nebraska - Topsoil moisture remains short in many areas. Livestock producers continue supplemental feeding, while winter wheat is holding condition where snow cover has been adequate.
  • Oklahoma - Drought expanded in December, with widespread short- to very-short soil moisture. Wheat conditions deteriorated in dry areas, and forage growth remains limited.
  • Texas - Above-normal temperatures and spotty rainfall dominated. Winter wheat emergence has been uneven, rangeland conditions declined in dry regions, and hay feeding remains elevated.

Midwest

  • Iowa - Winter wheat is mostly in good condition with snow cover providing insulation. Livestock conditions remain stable, and producers are focused on 2026 input planning.
  • Illinois - Soil moisture is generally adequate. Wheat conditions are good, and grain movement continues where weather allows.
  • Indiana - Mild winter conditions have supported winter wheat establishment. Livestock operations report few weather-related issues.
  • Missouri - Wheat conditions range from fair to good. Dryness in southern areas has limited pasture recovery, increasing supplemental feeding.
  • Ohio - Cold weather slowed field activity, but winter wheat remains protected by snow cover. Livestock conditions are reported as good.

Delta & South

  • Arkansas - Dry conditions persist, limiting winter forage growth. Livestock producers continue feeding hay, and wheat emergence has been uneven.
  • Mississippi - Soil moisture remains short across much of the state. Winter wheat and cover crops are stressed, while livestock conditions remain stable.
  • Louisiana - Limited rainfall slowed pasture recovery. Sugarcane harvest wrapped up under mostly favorable conditions.
  • Alabama - Dry weather continues to pressure grazing. Winter forage growth remains below normal.
  • Georgia - Abnormally dry conditions expanded, reducing pasture productivity. Peanut and cotton harvests are complete.

West & Southwest

  • California - Late-December storms improved topsoil moisture and benefited winter crops and specialty agriculture. Snowpack remains mixed across the Sierra Nevada.
  • Arizona - Soil moisture remains very short. Forage conditions are poor, and livestock producers continue heavy supplemental feeding.
  • New Mexico - Drought conditions persist statewide. Winter wheat and pasture conditions remain stressed.
  • Nevada - Cold, dry weather limited field activity. Range conditions remain poor in drought-affected areas.

Northwest & Northern Rockies

  • Washington - Above-normal precipitation improved winter wheat prospects but caused localized flooding. Field access remains limited in wet areas.
  • Oregon - Mild, wet conditions supported crop growth but created challenges for livestock operations and field traffic.
  • Idaho - Snow cover has been inconsistent, leaving some winter wheat exposed. Livestock producers report normal winter management.
  • Montana - Limited snow cover in parts of the state has raised concerns about soil moisture protection. Supplemental feeding continues.

Northeast & Upper Midwest

  • Michigan - Cold temperatures and snow helped protect winter wheat. Livestock conditions remain stable.
  • Minnesota - Winter weather slowed grain movement. Snow cover is helping insulate soils and forage.
  • Pennsylvania: Adequate moisture and cold temperatures prevail. Fieldwork is largely paused.
  • New York - Snowfall improved soil insulation, though some areas remain abnormally dry.
Related Stories
A rescheduled WASDE, China’s soybean squeeze, barge bottlenecks, and premium beef demand all collide this week — with cash decisions, basis, and risk plans on the line.
High milk production and soft retail demand are squeezing prices and margins — making careful feed and risk management essential through year-end.
Market analyst and friend of the show, Shawn Hackett, says Brazil’s shifting use of crops for biofuel production is a significant factor.
U.S. Senator Roger Marshall (R-KS) shares his perspective on the U.S.-China trade developments and their potential impact on American producers, farmers, and ranchers.
Prepare for softer milk checks into winter, watch cull-cow values and timing, and stress-test cash flow as product prices recalibrate.
Cattle markets are collapsing this week, and analysts say that several factors are at play. Consumer beef prices also remain near all-time highs, threatening long-term demand.
The President’s trip to Asia this week follows a trade mission by the Iowa Soybean Association. Farmers say they were reminded that U.S. soybeans have an international reputation that can be easy to take for granted here at home.
Harvest Marches on as River Logistics And Inputs Steer Bids
John Appel with the Farmers Business Network (FBN) joins us for a closer look at the 2026 Crop Protection Market Outlook Report.

Tony St. James joined the RFD-TV talent team in August 2024, bringing a wealth of experience and a fresh perspective to RFD-TV and Rural Radio Channel 147 Sirius XM. In addition to his role as Market Specialist (collaborating with Scott “The Cow Guy” Shellady to provide radio and TV audiences with the latest updates on ag commodity markets), he hosts “Rural America Live” and serves as talent for trade shows.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

Record yields and exceptionally low BCFM strengthen U.S. corn’s competitive position in global markets.
Water access—not acreage alone—is driving where irrigation expands or contracts.
Credit stress is building for row-crop farms despite steady land values and slight price improvements.
The Lexington shutdown pushes national slaughter capacity utilization nearer long-run averages, underscoring how tight cattle supplies are reshaping packer operations.
Texas livestock producers face a heightened biosecurity threat as New World screwworm detections in northern Mexico coincide with FDA approval of the first topical treatment.
Working capital is tightening for crop farms, increasing reliance on operating loans even as land values steady in the broader sector.