WASHINGTON, D.C. (RFD NEWS) — U.S. soybean ending stocks for 2025/26 remained unchanged at 350 million bushels in USDA’s March Oil Crops Outlook, even as stronger crush demand lifted both supply and use forecasts.
USDA raised soybean imports by 5 million bushels and increased crush by the same amount to a record 2.58 billion bushels. The export forecast held at 1.58 billion bushels, while the season-average farm price stayed unchanged at $10.20 per bushel. Soybean meal demand improved on strong domestic use and competitive pricing, pushing the meal price forecast up to $300 per short ton.
For producers, the crush increase matters because it reflects solid demand for soybean products even as soybean oil use in biofuels has weakened. USDA lowered soybean oil used for biomass-based diesel to 14.0 billion pounds, but stronger food, feed, and industrial use helped offset much of that decline. Soybean oil prices were still raised to 55 cents per pound.
Globally, sunflowerseed production and crush increased, especially in Argentina, Ukraine, and Kazakhstan, while Argentina’s soybean crop was trimmed slightly on lower yield.
Larger grain stocks increase supply pressure, but strong fall disappearance — especially for corn and sorghum — suggests demand remains an important offset.
January 13, 2026 01:02 PM
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Record corn and sorghum crops boost feed grain supplies, while reduced soybean and cotton production tighten outlooks for oilseeds and fiber markets.
January 13, 2026 12:53 PM
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Lewis Williamson with HTS Commodities joined us to provide analysis on the January WASDE report and expectations for grain markets going forward.
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Strong pork demand and improving beef exports outside China support protein markets despite ongoing trade barriers.
January 13, 2026 06:00 AM
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Market reaction was bearish for corn and soybeans, with analysts noting that abundant supplies amid tepid demand could keep price pressure on agricultural commodities.
January 12, 2026 03:51 PM
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Logistics capacity remains available, but winter volatility favors flexible delivery and marketing plans. NGFA President Mike Seyfert provides insight into grain transportation trends, trade policy, and priorities for the year ahead.
January 12, 2026 02:52 PM
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