The Congressional Budget Office is out with new estimates around the President’s tariff plan.
They now say tariffs will reduce the deficit by more than $2 trillion, but the new report comes with a catch. The Office says those savings will be negated by the cost of the President’s “Big, Beautiful Bill,” which is currently in the hands of the Senate. CBO estimates now show that tariffs will save the U.S. around $2.5 trillion over the next decade, along with shrinking the size of the U.S. economy.
The overall tariff rate right now on most countries stand between 10 and 15 percent.
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WTO gauges point to agricultural raw materials trade growing more slowly than overall goods, reinforcing the need to manage export risk and monitor policy shifts closely.
One trader said the products entering the U.S. are primarily grind and trim, noting that the volume and type of beef, on its own, should not cause a major disruption. However, he says fund traders are reacting heavily to headlines rather than market realities.
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Removing the 40% duty sharply lowers U.S. beef import costs on beef, coffee, fertilizer and fruit, and restores Brazil’s competitiveness during a period of tight domestic supply.
Urea and phosphate see the biggest price relief from tariff exemptions, but nitrogen markets remain tight, and spring demand will still dictate pricing momentum.
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