Water Availability and Trade Uncertainty Pressure Farmland Market Values

Jeramy Stephens of National Land Realty breaks down current trends in the farmland real estate market and how landowners should consider water availability and its impact on land values as they plan for the year ahead.

LITTLE ROCK, ARKANSAS (RFD NEWS) — Correctly pricing property is a top priority for landowners this year, as factors like water availability and trade uncertainty continue to influence farmland values and investor interest. Producers and buyers alike are closely watching how these elements may impact the market moving forward.

Jeramy Stephens with National Land Realty joined us on Wednesday’s Market Day Report to provide insight into the current state of the farmland market.

In his interview with RFD NEWS, Stephens discussed how access to water plays a key role in determining land value, particularly in regions where irrigation and reliable water sources directly affect productivity. He also addressed the impact of trade policy and economic uncertainty on land sales, noting that concerns about producer profitability can influence buyer confidence and pricing trends. Despite these challenges, Stephens said the market is seeing steady activity from both producers and investors looking for long-term opportunities in agricultural land.

Stephens also offered guidance to those navigating the farmland market, encouraging buyers and sellers to stay informed, carefully evaluate regional factors, and work with knowledgeable professionals to make strategic decisions.

Related Stories
High ownership does not always translate into high output, underscoring the importance of structural differences in understanding state-level farm performance.
Benchmark machinery costs against those of similar-sized, high-performing operations to inform equipment and investment decisions.
Rep. Randy Feenstra, R-IA, details how the “One, Big, Beautiful Bill” Act (OBBBA) supports farmers, biofuels, and rural communities with tax breaks, crop insurance relief, and ag infrastructure.
Jake Charleston of Specialty Risk Insurance shares risk-reduction strategies to help cattle producers prepare for a successful year ahead.
Farms and major food companies use AI to improve efficiency and forecast demand. Still, developers said that training AI for different uses is only possible with support from knowledgeable workers.
More than 1,100 residents and farmers have signed a letter urging Ag Secretary Brooke Rollins to step in, saying the proposal threatens irrigation supplies and long-term farm viability in the region.
Producers across the country balanced winter weather disruptions, shifting export demand, and tightening margins as year-end decisions come into focus.
Reviewing risk management now can help dairy and livestock producers enter 2026 with clearer margins and fewer surprises.
Small, locally focused wineries are finding resilience through direct sales and regional loyalty rather than scale alone.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

Alan Bjerga with the National Milk Producers Federation joined us to review new policies and regulations supporting the dairy industry and what they mean for the year ahead.
Despite rising costs and growing food insecurity, meat demand remained strong in 2025 as higher-income consumers offset cutbacks elsewhere. Economists break down the K-shaped economy, upcoming USDA cattle reports, livestock production outlooks, and renewed debate over beef imports and country-of-origin labeling heading into 2026.
Corn growers are turning to ethanol, E15 expansion, and export markets to help absorb record supplies and stabilize prices. Farm leaders discuss low-carbon ethanol demand, flex-fuel vehicle challenges, input costs, and the role of USMCA as producers look for market relief in the year ahead.
From rising trade tensions in Europe to a pending Supreme Court decision on tariffs and shifting demand from China, global trade policy spearheaded by President Donald Trump continues to shape the outlook for U.S. agriculture—adding uncertainty as farmers navigate another volatile year.
The Surface Transportation Board rejects the proposed Norfolk Southern–Union Pacific merger, prompting concerns from agricultural shippers about rail consolidation, service reliability, and higher transportation costs.
Midland County Livestock Association President Brandon Mitchell reflects on another strong year for the event, including a premium sale that once again topped the million-dollar mark.