Data Centers Drive Long-Term Energy Demand Growth Outlook

Shifts in energy demand will influence fuel, fertilizer, and input costs.

Aerial drone shot of distribution warehouses and data center logistics hub with truck cargo shipping import and export in Biggleswade England UK_Liam Carter via AdobeStock_1573070273.jpg

Aerial drone shot of distribution warehouses and data center logistics hub with truck cargo shipping import and export in Biggleswade, England, United Kingdom.

Photo by Liam Carter via Adobe Stock

LUBBOCK, TEXAS (RFD NEWS) — Rising electricity demand tied to data centers is emerging as a major driver of long-term energy markets, with implications for agriculture through increased demand for fuel, fertilizer, and biofuels.

According to the U.S. Energy Information Administration’s Annual Energy Outlook 2026, overall U.S. energy consumption is expected to remain flat or decline slightly through 2050 due to efficiency gains, even as the economy grows. However, electricity demand is projected to increase steadily, largely driven by the expansion of data center infrastructure.

To meet that demand, generating capacity is expected to rise 50-90 percent by 2050. Natural gas, wind, and solar are projected to supply the majority of that growth, while coal continues to decline under most policy scenarios. Natural gas production is expected to increase significantly, supporting both domestic use and exports.

For agriculture, energy trends remain closely tied to input costs. Higher demand for electricity and natural gas can influence fertilizer production costs, while stable oil production may help moderate diesel prices over time.

Ethanol and other biofuels remain part of the broader energy mix, particularly as policy and technology evolve.

Farm-Level Takeaway: Shifts in energy demand will influence fuel, fertilizer, and input costs.
Tony St. James, RFD News Markets Specialist
Related Stories
Chris Nelson with SoilView explains how Section 180 could allow qualifying growers to deduct the value of nutrients already built up in the soil.
Council leaders see new opportunities to create international demand for U.S. agriculture.
Nothing changes immediately. This is a supplemental proposal, and EPA will accept comments for 30 days after publication in the Federal Register before developing a final rule.
The company is developing technology to help farmers catch storage problems earlier.

Tony St. James joined the RFD-TV talent team in August 2024, bringing a wealth of experience and a fresh perspective to RFD-TV and Rural Radio Channel 147 Sirius XM. In addition to his role as Market Specialist (collaborating with Scott “The Cow Guy” Shellady to provide radio and TV audiences with the latest updates on ag commodity markets), he hosts “Rural America Live” and serves as talent for trade shows.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

The Antitrust Division says it sent letters to Kroger, Publix, Walmart, Albertsons, Aldi, Ahold Delhaize, Costco, and Amazon.
Stronger mill use is providing a boost for extra-long-staple cotton demand, though overall volumes remain limited.
Lower beef and pork inventories point to tighter supplies, while growing turkey stocks could add pressure heading into fall.
Record cattle prices are making replacement-heifer decisions more costly as producers consider rebuilding their herds.
Meridan Agribusiness Advisors researchers estimate beef-on-dairy cattle now account for roughly 20 percent of calf and beef supply, with room to grow.
The latest Ag Economy Barometer for August shows a stronger financial outlook for producers, despite ongoing concerns about input costs.
Agriculture Shows
Agriculture is the most important industry in the world, and Ag PhD Daily brings you the information you need to best manage your business only on RFD-TV and RFD+
Hosted by Scott “The Cow Guy” Shellady and RFD News Markets Specialist Tony St. James, Commodity Talk delivers expert insight into the day’s ag commodity markets just before the CME opens. Only on RFD-TV and Rural Radio SiriusXM Channel 147.
A look at the news, weather and commodities headlines that drove agriculture markets in the past week.