Water Availability and Trade Uncertainty Pressure Farmland Market Values

Jeramy Stephens of National Land Realty breaks down current trends in the farmland real estate market and how landowners should consider water availability and its impact on land values as they plan for the year ahead.

LITTLE ROCK, ARKANSAS (RFD NEWS) — Correctly pricing property is a top priority for landowners this year, as factors like water availability and trade uncertainty continue to influence farmland values and investor interest. Producers and buyers alike are closely watching how these elements may impact the market moving forward.

Jeramy Stephens with National Land Realty joined us on Wednesday’s Market Day Report to provide insight into the current state of the farmland market.

In his interview with RFD NEWS, Stephens discussed how access to water plays a key role in determining land value, particularly in regions where irrigation and reliable water sources directly affect productivity. He also addressed the impact of trade policy and economic uncertainty on land sales, noting that concerns about producer profitability can influence buyer confidence and pricing trends. Despite these challenges, Stephens said the market is seeing steady activity from both producers and investors looking for long-term opportunities in agricultural land.

Stephens also offered guidance to those navigating the farmland market, encouraging buyers and sellers to stay informed, carefully evaluate regional factors, and work with knowledgeable professionals to make strategic decisions.

Related Stories
From meatpacking settlements to landmark NEPA rulings, Roger McEowen outlines the top legal developments in 2025 that will shape agriculture in the years ahead.
Alan Bjerga with the National Milk Producers Federation joined us to review new policies and regulations supporting the dairy industry and what they mean for the year ahead.
Corn growers are turning to ethanol, E15 expansion, and export markets to help absorb record supplies and stabilize prices. Farm leaders discuss low-carbon ethanol demand, flex-fuel vehicle challenges, input costs, and the role of USMCA as producers look for market relief in the year ahead.
Livestock strength is carrying the farm economy, while crop margins remain tight and increasingly dependent on risk management and financial discipline.
Strong balance sheets still matter, but liquidity, planning, and lender relationships are critical as ag credit tightens, according to analysis from AgAmerica Lending.
In a landmark ruling delivered in late 2025, the U.S. Supreme Court significantly narrowed the scope of the National Environmental Policy Act.
Trade volatility and shifting export destinations increase marketing risk for producers heading into 2026.
RFD NEWS Correspondent Frank McCaffrey speaks with Texas’s Sen. Ted Cruz and Rep. Vicente Gonzalez about USMCA renegotiation and its impact on U.S.–Mexico agriculture trade.
Rising rural business confidence supports local ag economies, but taxes and labor shortages remain key constraints.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

Matt Brockman, Communications Director for the Fort Worth Stock Show and Rodeo, joined us with a look at how the legendary event is moving forward—weather and all.
Strong White House backing supports ethanol demand, but timing now hinges on Congress resolving procedural — at the same time as they push toward a spending bill to avert another federal government shutdown.
Roger McEowen, with the Washburn School of Law, offers an in-depth look at two of the top legal issues of 202. Today, he walks through last year’s Waters of the United States (WOTUS) ruling and “lawfare.”
Lewis Williamson of HTS Commodities joined us with an update on the historic winter storm impacts and his outlook on today’s ag markets.
Marilyn Schlake with the UNL Department of Agricultural Economics joined us for a closer look at the evolving role of livestock sale barns.
RFD NEWS correspondent Frank McCaffrey recently spoke with Dr. Mike Vickers, a South Texas rancher, who says illegal border crossings have dramatically declined in the last year.