USDA data shows ag trade balance sheets are in the red with double-digit declines in the billions of dollars expected this year.
For wheat, economists explain that there is a unique situation happening.
“We see wheat exports rounded up to $2 billion, which is down 6% from the same period last year, whereas we’ve got a 6% increase by volume for last year, so we’re actually exporting more wheat, but at a lower price. So we’re seeing a negative value change over the last year,” said USDA economist Bart Kenner.
While the markets work to digest all the recent changes, some traders are following the numbers and they say they are showing a pattern.
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One trader said the products entering the U.S. are primarily grind and trim, noting that the volume and type of beef, on its own, should not cause a major disruption. However, he says fund traders are reacting heavily to headlines rather than market realities.
