Higher interest rates have taken a toll on Rural America. While most farmers would like them to come down, it is looking more and more unlikely.
Economist Ben Brown says they could inch up before they come back down:
“Given the inflation data that we’ve seen both at the consumer level and at the wholesale level the last couple of months, I have a really hard time seeing how the Fed can just maintain interest rates where they’re at—and certainly I wouldn’t remove the possibility of an interest rate hike here before May or June,” Brown said. “To look at last week’s inflation data, the Consumer Price Index came up month-over-month higher than even what the expectations are. That’s the third straight month that we’ve seen inflation come in hotter than expected, and the Producer Price Index was also up, signaling that wholesale inflation will eventually trickle down to consumer inflation as well, so I do think we’re seeing the prices increase faster than they expected. I think that’s got the Federal Reserve a little bit concerned.”
Ben Brown, Economist
This month’s inflation reports both came in hotter than expected, showing high prices remain sticky. Brown says he believes prices are still rising faster than expected, and that could lead the Fed to take action in the coming weeks.
Related Stories
Working capital is tightening for crop farms, increasing reliance on operating loans even as land values steady in the broader sector.
Rep. Michelle Fischbach shares her appreciation for rural communities and outlines how the Working Families Tax Cut is aimed to support farm families on RFD-TV’s Champions of Rural America.
Farm CPA Paul Neiffer has developed a detailed calculator to help producers navigate the program’s requirements. He joined us on Thursday’s Market Day Report to explain how it works.
While the 2018 Farm Bill received an extension under the “One, Big, Beautiful Bill” Act, the National Pork Producers Council wants lawmakers to do more to support the sector.
Buying a real Christmas tree directly supports U.S. farmers facing rising import competition, long production cycles, and weather-driven risks.
Milk output is rising, but steep drops in Class I–IV prices are tightening margins heading into 2026.
Weaker U.S. dairy prices come as value-added exports expand and ingredient inventories tighten, creating mixed market signals for producers.
WTO gauges point to agricultural raw materials trade growing more slowly than overall goods, reinforcing the need to manage export risk and monitor policy shifts closely.
Improved export prospects and higher crop prices strengthened future expectations despite continued caution about spending.