Analyst: Brazil’s Shift to Corn Ethanol Putting Global Sugar Prices in a Pinch

Market analyst and friend of the show, Shawn Hackett, says Brazil’s shifting use of crops for biofuel production is a significant factor.

NASHVILLE, Tenn. (RFD-TV) — Global sugar markets are seeing a shake-up, and it is all tied to ethanol production. Market analyst and friend of the show, Shawn Hackett, says Brazil’s shifting use of crops for biofuel production is a significant factor.

“One of the big demand factors in Brazil is ethanol from sugar, and in the last few years, because the price of corn got so undervalued that it’s actually much, much cheaper to produce ethanol out of corn than it is out of sugar,” Hacket said. “And so, all of the corn that they possibly can utilize to make ethanol is being utilized, so demand for corn-based ethanol is going through the roof.”

The dip in corn prices, followed by a rise in demand, is putting sugar in a pinch.

“The sugar processors are now trying to make as much sugar as possible, and they’re reducing that demand for ethanol, and that is significantly changing the equation of how much importable supplies they have to the open market,” Hackett explained. “That’s been really hitting sugar prices pretty hard, and that’s a big structural change that, until corn prices go up, sugar prices could be in an oversupply.”

Related Stories
Brazil Potash CEO Matt Simpson discusses global fertilizer security, the importance of domestic production, and Brazil’s push toward fertilizer independence, which could impact market competitiveness.
Producers growing multiple spring crops should compare CLIP with individual coverage increases and county-based supplemental protection.
Improved coffee output could strengthen the U.S. supply, but input costs and weather risks keep the outlook uncertain.
Estimates for 2026 harvested crops remain early. Corn and sorghum are below their reference prices, while wheat and soybeans are above them.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

Lewis Williamson with HTS Commodities discusses late-season planting progress, market fundamentals heading into summer, and the influence of biofuel policy on grain demand.
New livestock pest research in Texas could strengthen tools protecting cattle health, movement, and ranch profitability.
Avocado growers and buyers face sharp price swings when Mexican supply changes faster than alternative sources can respond.
Corn farmers and ethanol groups are urging Senate action on E-15 legislation while grain basis values strengthen in eastern states.
Julia Andrus with Phospholutions joins us to discuss fertilizer market uncertainty, evolving grower strategies, and how efficiency is reshaping nutrient management decisions in modern agriculture.
RealAg Radio’s Shaun Haney discusses Canada’s record farm cash receipts, profitability trends in livestock and crops, and the impact of rising input costs in 2026.