California could soon change course on E-15

Pressure to lower gas prices across the Golden State could be the saving grace of this year’s corn harvest. California may soon be the final U.S. state to approve E-15 sales.

California could soon be the final state to approve the sale of E-15 biofuel, which could be a “Golden” lining for this year’s bumper corn crop, ready for harvest when low market prices are a big concern for producers.

Golden State lawmakers reversed course on E-15 this month, sending a bill to Governor Gavin Newsom’s desk to allow for sales to accomplish the Administration’s goal to reduce gas prices. According to AAA (on Sept. 9, 2025), a gallon of regular gas costs $4.63, which is more than a dollar higher than the U.S. national average.

While Gov. Newsom has yet to sign that bill, biofuel groups remain hopeful, adding that it would help absorb the surplus of low-cost corn about to hit the market.

“That adds another 500, almost 600 million gallons of new demand for American ethanol, when California adopts E15,” explained Troy Bredenkamp with the Renewable Fuels Association. “It’s 200 million bushels of new demand for new corn grind. So that is significant when you’re looking at one of the biggest crops, maybe the biggest crop in history, coming in this fall.”

Bredenkamp is also calling on Congress to settle the E-15 debate once and for all when it comes to year-round sales. Use of E-15 was previously banned during the summer months because it was believed to be more volatile in high temperatures, and there was worry it could contribute to smog and reduce air quality.

However, biofuel groups argue that science has disproved this theory. Arguing it is actually less volatile than standard gasoline.

Related Stories
China is not one of our top suppliers of cooking oil, according to USDA ERS data, but does export a lot of used cooking oil to the U.S. for biofuel production.
Export Inspections In Bushels Show Mixed Momentum Patterns
“USDA can no longer keep wasting its time and personnel to deploy Commissioner Miller’s infamous traps, which USDA has deployed, tested, and has proven ineffective.”
Treat storage as risk management and logistics, and budget to break even since export growth is unlikely to absorb bigger U.S. corn and soybean crops.
Rex Gray, Corn Product Manager for Golden Harvest, discusses how the company works side-by-side with farmers to develop strong-performing hybrids built to fit their acres.
Expect a steady corn grind and selective basis strength where exports and local blending stay active.
Jed Bower, the incoming president of the National Corn Growers Association, joined us for his sector’s perspective on the ongoing government shutdown.
Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent last week said an announcement would be made on Tuesday. However, that self-imposed deadline has now passed.
Despite tariffs having a less significant impact on exports, corn producers struggle with tariff-related increases on inputs, which complicates their bottom line.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

As the new year begins, both farmers and rural families are taking stock of their finances and planning ahead for 2026.
Trade uncertainty—especially regarding soybeans—continues to weigh on future outlooks, even as farm finances and land values remain resilient.
Roger McEowen with the Washburn University School of Law joined us to provide legal insight and context on these issues facing agriculture. Today, he discusses pesticide litigation.
Sen. Deb Fischer reintroduces the HAULS Act to update hours-of-service exemptions and definitions affecting livestock and agricultural haulers. She joins us on Market Day Report to share more about her proposed legislation.
Strong crush demand and rising ethanol production are pressuring feedstocks, as traders monitor storage risks and supply chain uncertainty and await the upcoming January WASDE report.
The U.S. Meat Export Federation plans to expand its global market presence in the New Year and says it is focusing its appeal on the growing middle class worldwide.