Cautionary Tale of Tariffs: Ag groups are closely watching for retaliation

President Trump has pushed the rollout of his tariff plan back to March 4th, but they are still full speed ahead. While ag lawmakers are largely supportive, some warn farmers and ranchers could become targets.

“I do have a cautionary note always with tariffs because, historically, if we impose tariffs on another country, a lot of times we will see a retaliatory effort on their part. And nine times out of ten, the target for those retaliations is right at America’s breadbasket, our agricultural economy,” said Representative Dan Newhouse.

The Farm Bureau is also worried about retaliation. They have been watching the situation closely and say unless something changes, everything takes effect next Tuesday.

“If we do that, Canada’s retaliatory tariffs would also enter into force next Tuesday. Canada has also stated previously that if the tariffs were to remain in effect, they’ll impose further tariffs on an additional 125 billion dollars of U.S. products, which could expand to all U.S. agricultural products exported to Canada,” said AFBF Economist Betty Resnick.

Prior to last month’s pause, Canada listed a number of goods that would face retaliatory tariffs including proteins, row crops, and processed foods like chocolate, pasta, and soup.

Related Stories
Buying a real Christmas tree directly supports U.S. farmers facing rising import competition, long production cycles, and weather-driven risks.
Strong plant output and rising exports contrast with softer domestic blending demand, suggesting margins are poised for volatility.
Weaker U.S. dairy prices come as value-added exports expand and ingredient inventories tighten, creating mixed market signals for producers.
WTO gauges point to agricultural raw materials trade growing more slowly than overall goods, reinforcing the need to manage export risk and monitor policy shifts closely.
Improved export prospects and higher crop prices strengthened future expectations despite continued caution about spending.
While the agriculture industry hoped details on proposed “bridge” payments for farmers would be released this week, Ag Secretary Brook Rollins said the USDA is still working with the White House on the finer points.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

Analysts say a Supreme Court decision on tariffs could reshape protein markets, strain U.S.-China trade, and force farmers to rethink global demand strategies.
Wayne Cockrell with the Texas and Southwestern Cattle Raisers Association joined us to discuss preparedness, producer awareness, and the industry’s response to New World screwworm concerns.
President Donald Trump speaks at the World Economic Forum in Davos, addressing SNAP spending, tariff threats against Europe, market reactions, and the upcoming USMCA review.
From meatpacking settlements to landmark NEPA rulings, Roger McEowen outlines the top legal developments in 2025 that will shape agriculture in the years ahead.
Alan Bjerga with the National Milk Producers Federation joined us to review new policies and regulations supporting the dairy industry and what they mean for the year ahead.
Despite rising costs and growing food insecurity, meat demand remained strong in 2025 as higher-income consumers offset cutbacks elsewhere. Economists break down the K-shaped economy, upcoming USDA cattle reports, livestock production outlooks, and renewed debate over beef imports and country-of-origin labeling heading into 2026.