Diesel Prices Keep Rising as Middle East Tensions Continue

Kansas State University agricultural economist Dr. Gregg Ibendahl discusses rising diesel prices, the influence of global oil markets, and the potential impact on farmers heading into the spring planting season.

diesel.jpg

Market Day Report

NASHVILLE, TENN. (RFD NEWS) — Diesel prices are climbing toward $5 per gallon following sharp spikes in global oil markets, adding new cost pressures for farmers preparing for spring planting.

According to AAA, the national average for a gallon of diesel has reached $4.98, up from $4.65 just one week ago. A month ago, diesel averaged $3.64 per gallon, and one year ago it was about $3.60. The surge comes as Brent crude oil prices topped $105 per barrel amid ongoing disruptions tied to the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, a critical global energy shipping route.

Dr. Gregg Ibendahl, an agricultural economist with Kansas State University, joined us on Monday’s Market Day Report to discuss what historical oil and gas price trends might suggest for pump prices in the current climate.

In his interview with RFD NEWS, Ibendahl explained that crude oil prices are a key driver of fuel costs, and major disruptions to transportation routes can quickly ripple through energy markets.

With the Strait of Hormuz remaining closed, Ibendahl noted the potential for longer-term impacts if shipping disruptions persist. Higher fuel prices could significantly increase operating costs for farmers, particularly as they begin spring planting and rely heavily on diesel for fieldwork and transportation.

Ibendahl also discussed how quickly markets might stabilize if the geopolitical situation is resolved. While crude oil prices can react quickly to new developments, it may take longer for those changes to filter down to diesel prices at the pump.

Related Stories
Elena Chavez with Halter provided insight into the company’s virtual fencing technology, its adoption in the U.S., and the impact of recent funding on ranching operations.
Young exhibitors balance school and months of preparation as they compete at one of Texas’s largest livestock events.
Brooks York with AgriSompo addresses how current market conditions and risk management are impacted by volatility in the Middle East, and considerations for farmers in the spring planting season.
Farm CPA Paul Neiffer provided guidance on navigating the R&D tax credit, emphasizing record-keeping, eligibility, and maximizing potential savings as crop margins remain the key pressure point for farmers.

Marion is a digital content manager for RFD News and FarmHER + RanchHER. She started working for Rural Media Group in May 2022, bringing a decade of digital experience in broadcast media and some cooking experience to the team.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

CattleCon 2026 officially kicks off Tuesday and continues through Thursday, bringing producers together to shape the future of the U.S. cattle industry.
Traders say that shift could eventually prompt the USDA to scale back soybean export projections, noting the outlook differs greatly for other grain commodities.
The federal government’s status is far from the only factor moving the markets on Friday. Two critical reports released today on producer inflation and the status of the U.S. cattle herd are also top of mind.
AFBF Economist Danny Munch shares a closer look at the dairy market and the forces impacting producers today.
Eliza Petry joins the RFD News team with a strong connection to agriculture and a commitment to covering the people and issues that matter most to rural America.
Farm CPA Paul Neiffer helps producers navigate farm program payments and understand the key details farmers need to know.