Ethanol Blend Rate Breaks Ceiling as E15 Expands

Higher ethanol blend rates translate directly into stronger, more durable corn demand if regulatory momentum holds.

NASHVILLE, Tenn. (RFD-TV) — U.S. ethanol demand reached a new milestone in October, as ethanol accounted for 11.06 percent of the nation’s gasoline supply — the first monthly blend rate above 11 percent on record, according to data from the U.S. Energy Information Administration. The record underscores growing fuel demand for ethanol and challenges long-standing assumptions that blending cannot exceed 10 percent.

The Renewable Fuels Association says expanded availability of E15 and flex fuels such as E85 is driving the increase. The 12-month average blend rate also reached a record 10.48 percent in October, signaling sustained growth rather than a one-month anomaly. Iowa continues to lead adoption, with E15 representing roughly 25 percent of gasoline sales in November — nearly double early-2025 levels — while California’s recent E15 approval opens a major new market.

RFA President and CEO Geoff Cooper credits summer emergency fuel waivers and lower pump prices for accelerating adoption, while emphasizing the need for permanent year-round E15 approval and strong EPA renewable fuel standards. At an 11 percent blend rate, annual ethanol use would reach roughly 15 billion gallons.

Farm-Level Takeaway: Higher ethanol blend rates translate directly into stronger, more durable corn demand if regulatory momentum holds.
Tony St. James, RFD-TV Markets Specialist
Related Stories
Home to Reelfoot Lake, Lake County combines fertile farmland with one of Tennessee’s top outdoor destinations.
Corn is the clear export leader heading into summer.
A new LSU report outlines damage to Louisiana’s corn and wheat crops from freezes, drought, and other weather-related challenges.
Industry leaders highlighted trade concerns, export opportunities and the importance of maintaining momentum behind the agreement.

Tony St. James joined the RFD-TV talent team in August 2024, bringing a wealth of experience and a fresh perspective to RFD-TV and Rural Radio Channel 147 Sirius XM. In addition to his role as Market Specialist (collaborating with Scott “The Cow Guy” Shellady to provide radio and TV audiences with the latest updates on ag commodity markets), he hosts “Rural America Live” and serves as talent for trade shows.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

USDA raised exports by $2.5 billion from February, while imports are forecast at $205.5 billion. The resulting $29 billion agricultural trade deficit remains a reminder that higher shipments alone do not resolve trade pressure.
Farmers should watch for settlement notices and gather dealer repair invoices, proof of payment, and equipment identification records.
Livestock producers should inspect animals daily, report any suspicious wounds immediately, and comply with local movement restrictions.
Farm Bureau economist John Newton says farm income has declined every quarter for three years.
A new survey of agricultural lenders points to increasing financial stress across the Ninth District.
Researchers say expanded E15 access may benefit corn producers but create challenges for soybean growers.