Ethanol Production, Exports Grow as Rail Demand Shifts

Strong exports and production support ongoing corn demand.

Farmland producing ethanol for the oil and gas industry. Railroad tankers cars lined up near a ethanol plant at sunset_Photo by photogrfx via AdobeStock_496174713.png

Photo by photogrfx via Adobe Stock

NASHVILLE, Tenn. (RFD NEWS) — U.S. ethanol production and exports strengthened in 2025, reinforcing corn demand and reshaping transportation patterns across major domestic and export corridors.

Production rose 2 percent from 2024 and was 8 percent above the five-year average, supported by large corn supplies, improved plant efficiency, and firm international demand. Rail remained the dominant transport mode, moving 68 percent of Midwest output, with shipments primarily routed to the East Coast, Gulf Coast, and West Coast fuel markets.

Overall, Class I rail movements rose 1 percent from 2024 and 10 percent from the five-year average, though second-half rail volumes declined slightly as some shipments shifted to truck and barge.

Farm-Level Takeaway: Strong exports and production support ongoing corn demand.
Tony St. James, RFD NEWS Markets Specialist

Exports accounted for about 15 percent of total U.S. ethanol demand in 2025, reaching 2.18 billion gallons — up 13 percent year over year and 52 percent above the five-year average. Canada, the Netherlands, India, the United Kingdom, and Colombia purchased 76 percent of shipments, driven largely by national blending mandates ranging from E5 to E20.

Looking ahead, federal forecasts show ethanol production and exports holding near record levels into 2026 as blending demand stabilizes and corn use for ethanol rises.

Related Stories
Bredenkamp discusses industry support, Senate challenges and the push for expanded E15 access.
Dr. Derrell Peel says long-term price relief will depend more on rebuilding the U.S. cattle herd than increasing imports.
For producers, the next proof will be actual export sales, shipment pace, and buyer breakdowns.
Smith says the measure would expand fuel choices for consumers while advancing energy independence.

Tony St. James joined the RFD-TV talent team in August 2024, bringing a wealth of experience and a fresh perspective to RFD-TV and Rural Radio Channel 147 Sirius XM. In addition to his role as Market Specialist (collaborating with Scott “The Cow Guy” Shellady to provide radio and TV audiences with the latest updates on ag commodity markets), he hosts “Rural America Live” and serves as talent for trade shows.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

Tight supply and logistics issues may raise input costs.
Farm programs remain small but politically easier to expand.
Export funding aims to strengthen global demand for U.S. commodities.
Dairy markets are improving, but large supplies still cap the upside.
Investment and access to capital remain critical for agriculture.
Strong ethanol exports support long-term growth in corn demand.