Export Diversification Reshapes Corn Growth, Softens Soybean Declines

Broader export demand helps stabilize prices and supports stronger marketing opportunities over time.

Corn-Soybeans_AlfRibeiro-AdobeStock_335629402_1920x1080.jpg

AlfRibeiro – stock.adobe.com

NASHVILLE, Tenn. (RFD-TV) — U.S. corn and soybean export patterns in 2025 show how market diversification can either drive growth or reduce damage when demand shifts. Analysis from Purdue University finds that corn exports are expanding despite weakness among traditional buyers, while soybean exports declined but avoided a sharper collapse because sales were spread across more destinations.

USDA export data through October show soybean shipments trailing 2024 levels, with total exports projected near 44.5 million metric tons, down about 13 percent year over year. China’s share of U.S. soybean exports fell sharply, but gains across the European Union, Mexico, Southeast Asia, and North Africa absorbed much of the lost volume, turning what could have been a crisis into a manageable contraction.

Corn exports tell a different story. Even with reduced purchases from Mexico, Japan, and Colombia, total U.S. corn exports are projected to be near 78 million metric tons, up roughly 8 percent from 2024. Strong demand from a broader set of buyers, combined with ample U.S. supplies, pushed monthly shipments above last year’s pace.

The findings underscore how diversified export portfolios reduce reliance on any single market.

LEARN MORE: www.farmdocdaily.illinois.edu/

Farm-Level Takeaway: Broader export demand helps stabilize prices and supports stronger marketing opportunities over time.
Tony St. James, RFD-TV Markets Specialist

Related Stories
“A government shutdown impacts all Americans and has serious consequences, including for farmers. It just adds additional uncertainty, disrupts critical services.”
Agricultural exports continue to be a key contributor to rural employment. However, rural businesses still struggle to fill numerous job openings.
Consumer demand for regional food systems is strong, but the challenge lies in scaling production and infrastructure to meet that growing need.
Dave Kestel, a farmer from Will County and member of the Illinois Farm Bureau, joins us to share a boots-on-the-ground update on the 2025 corn harvest.
American Coalition for Ethanol’s Ron Lamberty shares the significance of California’s approval, opening up the country’s largest gasoline market to a cleaner-burning, often lower-cost fuel option.
Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent stated this week that the government will intervene to help, following China’s withdrawal from the U.S. soybean market. One trader says the industry will remain in a holding pattern until Tuesday.
University of Illinois Ag Economist Gary Schnitker says early projections indicate soybeans will be more profitable than corn in 2026.
Approximately 42,000 birds were affected in the outbreak, officials said.

Tony St. James joined the RFD-TV talent team in August 2024, bringing a wealth of experience and a fresh perspective to RFD-TV and Rural Radio Channel 147 Sirius XM. In addition to his role as Market Specialist (collaborating with Scott “The Cow Guy” Shellady to provide radio and TV audiences with the latest updates on ag commodity markets), he hosts “Rural America Live” and serves as talent for trade shows.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

Southern farms are deepening online engagement for cost savings and market access, while higher-cost precision technologies face renewed scrutiny amid tight budgets.
Global trade teams and summit discussions highlight expanding opportunities for U.S. corn and ethanol exports as nations explore renewable fuel options and reduced-carbon energy pathways.
Slightly higher output amid softer gasoline pull points to steady corn grind — watch regional stocks and export pace for basis clues.
Expect firm calf and fed-cattle prices — pair selective heifer retention with prudent hedging and liquidity to bridge rebuilding costs.
Using FEMA and USDA data, Trace One researchers estimate average annual U.S. agricultural losses of $3.48 billion, with drought accounting for more than half.
The new antitrust agreement between the Department of Justice (DOJ) and the U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) aims to enforce antitrust laws and monitor market activity across the ag sector.