Farm Debt Climbs To Record Highs

Farm debt is climbing to record levels at ag banks, reflecting pressure on crop producers’ finances even as livestock and land values lend stability to the sector.

TCR Classics 3 - tiny bank.png

Texas Country Reporter

NASHVILLE, Tenn. (RFD-TV) — Farm debt at agricultural banks continued to rise in the second quarter of 2025, driven by tighter margins for crop producers and steady demand for financing, according to the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City.

While loan delinquency rates remain low at just 1.3 percent, they ticked slightly higher as farm financial conditions weakened. Agricultural banks—defined as those with at least a quarter of lending tied to farm loans—reported stronger growth than other lenders, with half seeing loan balances increase by more than 5 percent and a quarter posting gains over 10 percent.

Real estate debt at farm-focused banks rose 5 percent year-over-year, while production loans increased nearly 10 percent. By contrast, non-agricultural banks showed flat to declining farm loan balances. Record farm debt levels are being offset by relatively strong earnings at agricultural banks, supported by higher interest margins; however, liquidity has tightened as loan-to-deposit ratios have crept upward.

The Fed notes that conditions remain uneven across the agricultural sector. Livestock producers, particularly cattle operators, are experiencing more substantial returns, while crop producers are facing low commodity prices and high input costs. Government relief payments and firm land values have provided some cushion, but weaker profitability is likely to keep credit demand elevated into 2026.

Farm-Level Takeaway: Farm debt is climbing to record levels at ag banks, reflecting pressure on crop producers’ finances even as livestock and land values lend stability to the sector.

Tony St. James joined the RFD-TV talent team in August 2024, bringing a wealth of experience and a fresh perspective to RFD-TV and Rural Radio Channel 147 Sirius XM. In addition to his role as Market Specialist (collaborating with Scott “The Cow Guy” Shellady to provide radio and TV audiences with the latest updates on ag commodity markets), he hosts “Rural America Live” and serves as talent for trade shows.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

Prepare for softer milk checks into winter, watch cull-cow values and timing, and stress-test cash flow as product prices recalibrate.
Expect incremental near-term lift for feed grains, proteins, and ethanol as tariff cuts and smoother approvals translate into real orders.
If confirmed, early Chinese buys tighten nearby Gulf/PNW capacity and could bump basis in export-oriented regions.
Trade pacts with Malaysia and Cambodia unlock tariff-free and preferential lanes for key U.S. farm goods, expanding long-term demand in Southeast Asia.
The review signals renewed scrutiny of China’s agricultural trade pledges and could reshape farm export opportunities depending on its outcome.
The U.S.-Japan tech pact signals long-term investment in bio-innovation, connectivity, and secure supply chains — all of which can strengthen rural manufacturing, ag exports, and digital infrastructure critical to the next generation of farm productivity.