Farm Debt Signals Show Pressure on Operating Loans

Operating debt remains manageable in many areas, but rising non-accrual loans show why careful cash-flow management matters in 2026.

frozen funds usda money farm programs_Photo by ivandanru via Adobe Stock.jpg

Photo by ivandanru via Adobe Stock

Adobe Stock

NASHVILLE, TENN. (RFD NEWS) — Farm operating debt remains mostly stable across the South, but late-loan categories are showing pressure after a difficult year for row-crop margins. Charley Martinez with the University of Tennessee Institute of Agriculture says non-real estate farm loans were 4 percent higher in the fourth quarter of 2025 than a year earlier.

The biggest concern is loan quality. Martinez says non-accrual loans stayed elevated from the previous quarter and were 172 percent higher than in the fourth quarter of 2024. Loans 90 days or more past due were nearly unchanged from a year earlier.

Loans 30 to 89 days late fell from their first-quarter peak, but Martinez says some of that debt likely moved into the non-accrual category by year-end. That category still remained 35 percent higher than fourth-quarter 2024.

State pressure varied. Alabama, Georgia, Louisiana, Mississippi, and Arkansas were above the regional average for total late debt as a share of total loan volume.

Higher crop prices and future ARC and PLC payments may help, but input costs, interest rates, and tight margins keep working capital important.

Farm-Level Takeaway: Operating debt remains manageable in many areas, but rising non-accrual loans show why careful cash-flow management matters in 2026.
Tony St. James, RFD News Markets Specialist
Related Stories
The new county maps show farm program payments are widespread, but payment design still produces very different outcomes across regions and crops. AgriSompo’s Brooks York joins us to discuss the role of crop insurance in supporting mental health.
Dr. Ernie Goss joined us to break down the latest Rural Main Street Index, discuss pressures on farm finances and equipment sales, and share expectations for the ag economy ahead.
New farm payment rules allow LLC members to have separate limits, but some local FSA offices are still applying outdated policies, creating confusion for producers.
March brought better prices for several commodities, but rising fuel and feed costs kept margins under pressure.
NRECA CEO Jim Matheson joins us to discuss rural electric co-ops’ push for expanded USDA loan programs, rising energy demand from data center expansion, wildfire mitigation and other policy priorities impacting rural power infrastructure.
Landowners interested in protecting working ground through an easement now have another funding window open until the end of May.

Tony St. James joined the RFD-TV talent team in August 2024, bringing a wealth of experience and a fresh perspective to RFD-TV and Rural Radio Channel 147 Sirius XM. In addition to his role as Market Specialist (collaborating with Scott “The Cow Guy” Shellady to provide radio and TV audiences with the latest updates on ag commodity markets), he hosts “Rural America Live” and serves as talent for trade shows.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

Cotton margins improved slightly, even as fertilizer and fuel costs rose due to the Strait of Hormuz disruption linked to the Iran war.
Flour milling demand stayed generally steady, but total wheat grind remained slightly softer year over year.
U.S. export inspections turned in another strong corn week.
The latest developments point to shifting export routes, higher congestion risk, and continuing cost pressure for grain, fertilizer, and energy shipments.
Tyson is still reshaping its beef footprint.
Cotton prices improved last week, but drought, storms, and uneven planting are keeping risk elevated.