Farm Debt Signals Show Pressure on Operating Loans

Operating debt remains manageable in many areas, but rising non-accrual loans show why careful cash-flow management matters in 2026.

frozen funds usda money farm programs_Photo by ivandanru via Adobe Stock.jpg

Photo by ivandanru via Adobe Stock

Adobe Stock

NASHVILLE, TENN. (RFD NEWS) — Farm operating debt remains mostly stable across the South, but late-loan categories are showing pressure after a difficult year for row-crop margins. Charley Martinez with the University of Tennessee Institute of Agriculture says non-real estate farm loans were 4 percent higher in the fourth quarter of 2025 than a year earlier.

The biggest concern is loan quality. Martinez says non-accrual loans stayed elevated from the previous quarter and were 172 percent higher than in the fourth quarter of 2024. Loans 90 days or more past due were nearly unchanged from a year earlier.

Loans 30 to 89 days late fell from their first-quarter peak, but Martinez says some of that debt likely moved into the non-accrual category by year-end. That category still remained 35 percent higher than fourth-quarter 2024.

State pressure varied. Alabama, Georgia, Louisiana, Mississippi, and Arkansas were above the regional average for total late debt as a share of total loan volume.

Higher crop prices and future ARC and PLC payments may help, but input costs, interest rates, and tight margins keep working capital important.

Farm-Level Takeaway: Operating debt remains manageable in many areas, but rising non-accrual loans show why careful cash-flow management matters in 2026.
Tony St. James, RFD News Markets Specialist
Related Stories
American Farmland Trust shares guidance, research, and policy solutions to help farmers navigate the growing threat of PFAS, or “forever chemicals,” contaminating U.S. farmland.
Kevin Charleston of Specialty Risk Insurance discusses the importance of grain bin safety and joint efforts with Nationwide to provide farmers and first responders with access to critical, life-saving rescue tubes.
Bankruptcy filings reflect prolonged margin pressure, rising debt, and limited financial flexibility across farm country. Bigger operating loans are helping farms manage costs, but they also signal growing reliance on borrowed capital.
Lower freight costs helped sustain export demand amid a challenging pricing environment.

Tony St. James joined the RFD-TV talent team in August 2024, bringing a wealth of experience and a fresh perspective to RFD-TV and Rural Radio Channel 147 Sirius XM. In addition to his role as Market Specialist (collaborating with Scott “The Cow Guy” Shellady to provide radio and TV audiences with the latest updates on ag commodity markets), he hosts “Rural America Live” and serves as talent for trade shows.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

Corn export strength remains a key demand anchor, while China’s continued involvement in soybeans and sorghum bears close watching for price direction.
Preserving equity through active risk management remains critical in a volatile, supply-driven market.
Weather, Tight Supplies, and Planning Shape Farm Decisions
Bigger cows must wean proportionally heavier calves to justify higher ownership costs.
Improving consumer confidence supports baseline food and fuel demand, but cautious spending limits upside potential for ag markets in 2026.
Strong ethanol production and export trends continue to support corn demand despite seasonal fuel consumption softness.