WASHINGTON, D.C. (RFD NEWS) — U.S. farm income is expected to be slightly lower in 2026, but the picture is more mixed than the headline number suggests. Economists with the U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) say higher government payments and steady expenses are helping cushion another year of market pressure.
Net farm income is forecast at $153.4 billion, down less than 1 percent from 2025. Net cash farm income, which better reflects money moving through farm accounts, is actually projected to rise to $158.5 billion. After adjusting for inflation, both measures remain above long-term averages.
Farm-Level Takeaway: Income support helps, but farm finances remain tight heading into 2026.
Tony St. James, RFD NEWS Markets Specialist
The drag comes from cash receipts. Total farm receipts are expected to fall to $514.7 billion, driven largely by weaker livestock, dairy, and egg prices. Crop receipts show a modest nominal increase, led by corn, though gains fade after inflation.
Government payments are projected to rise sharply to $44.3 billion in 2026, driven by higher commodity program payments and continued disaster assistance. Production expenses are forecast to stay relatively flat, with higher livestock purchases and labor costs offset by lower feed and energy spending.
Farm CPA Paul Neiffer helps producers navigate farm program payments and understand the key details farmers need to know.
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Beef x Dairy cattle with strong genetics and documentation are earning prices comparable to native feeders.
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Reliable waterways lower costs, protect export demand, and support long-term farm profitability.
January 29, 2026 06:00 AM
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Justin Wheeler with the American Society of Farm Managers & Rural Appraisers joined us with insight into current farmland values and what to watch in the year ahead.
January 28, 2026 02:42 PM
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Greater transparency into USDA-backed lending can help rural lenders and producers better assess credit availability and investment trends.
January 28, 2026 07:00 AM
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Mixed product pricing and rising milk supplies suggest margin management will remain critical as 2026 unfolds.
January 28, 2026 06:00 AM
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Corn and soybean exports continue to anchor weekly inspection totals, with China maintaining a visible role, while wheat and sorghum remain more dependent on regional and seasonal demand shifts.
January 27, 2026 03:08 PM
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Marilyn Schlake with the UNL Department of Agricultural Economics joined us for a closer look at the evolving role of livestock sale barns.
January 27, 2026 12:19 PM
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