NASHVILLE, Tenn. (RFD-TV) — U.S. food manufacturers will rely heavily on Canadian oats again this year. Still, rising rail tariffs and tighter supplies are reshaping how those oats move into key milling regions. Since domestic output cannot meet demand for cereals, oatmeal, and granola, buyers remain dependent on consistent cross-border shipments — and transportation costs are increasingly driving the equation.
The United States imports nearly all its oats from Canada, with most shipped by rail to Duluth, Chicago, and major Midwest mills. A 2023 drought cut Canadian production, reducing rail volumes 26 percent and increasing reliance on truck and Great Lakes vessel shipments. For 2025/26, all major railroads raised oat tariff rates: BNSF by $100 per car and Canadian carriers by $175–$260 per car, depending on lane and volume.
Processors in Minneapolis, Cedar Rapids, and St. Ansgar now face higher freight costs, which are tightening margins and may influence sourcing decisions. Truck shipments remain steady but cannot replace rail capacity. Meanwhile, competition between rail carriers — especially over access to Cedar Rapids — has widened rate spreads.
Looking ahead, oat shipments will peak after harvest, but elevated freight rates and tighter supplies may suppress volumes into early 2026.
Farm-Level Takeaway: Higher rail tariffs and tighter Canadian supplies will keep oat transportation costs firm into 2026.
Tony Saint James, RFD-TV Markets Specialist
Shawn Haney, Host of RealAg Radio on Rural Radio SiriusXM Channel 147, joined us on Tuesday’s Market Day Report with the latest news from Canada impacting the ag sector.
November 18, 2025 12:47 PM
·
Dr. Deb Vnoverbeke, UNL’s Head of Animal Science, joins us with more about the university’s experiential learning programs designed to prepare veterinary students for the future of agriculture.
November 18, 2025 12:37 PM
·
Tariff relief may soften grocery prices, but it also intensifies competition for U.S. fruit, vegetable, and beef producers as cheaper imports regain market share.
November 17, 2025 01:20 PM
·
As economic pressures continue to squeeze agriculture, ag lenders are signaling a more cautious outlook for farm profitability heading into next year, particularly among grain producers facing lower commodity prices and higher operating costs.
November 14, 2025 02:10 PM
·
USDA released the November WASDE Report on Friday, the first supply-and-demand estimate to drop since September, just before the 43-day government shutdown.
November 14, 2025 12:22 PM
·
U.S. Trade officials announced new deals with El Salvador, Guatemala, Ecuador, and Argentina, as well as a steep reduction in tariffs on Swiss imports.
November 14, 2025 11:58 AM
·
