How ‘America First’ Trade Policy and SCOTUS Tariff Decision Could Impact Farmland Values

Jeramy Stephens with National Land Realty explains how the Supreme Court’s tariff ruling and ongoing ‘America First’ trade policy raise new questions about U.S. farmland values and agricultural market stability.

LITTLE ROCK, ARK. (RFD NEWS) — The Trump Administration’s 2026 trade agenda will continue its “America First” approach. White House officials say that, despite a recent ruling from the U.S. Supreme Court, tariffs will stay in place, selective trade deals will move forward, and critical industries, including minerals used in fertilizer production, will be supported.

The agenda highlights recent agreements with the European Union and Indonesia. Officials also plan agricultural trade missions to connect U.S. producers with overseas buyers. A new “plurilateral” agreement on critical minerals, including phosphate and potash, is in the works to strengthen domestic supply chains.

And USDA says the agricultural trade deficit is expected to fall to $29 billion this fiscal year, down from about $50 billion last year. Undersecretary Luke Lindberg calls it a 43-percent drop and says export gains in dairy, ethanol, and corn have driven the improvement.

The USDA says efforts to expand export markets will continue as the team aims to return to a trade surplus.

From geopolitical tensions to the Supreme Court’s recent tariff ruling, uncertainty continues to ripple across agricultural markets. Those unknowns don’t just impact commodity prices — they can also influence the land market, where confidence and long-term outlook play a critical role.

Jeramy Stephens with National Land Realty joined us on Wednesday’s Market Day Report to discuss what the latest developments could mean for agricultural landowners.

In his interview with RFD NEWS, Stephens discussed the Supreme Court ruling and what it could mean for those who own farmland, emphasizing the need for careful consideration in the current market. He also offered guidance to property owners navigating ongoing market uncertainty and highlighted factors to watch for those considering selling farmland in 2026.

Stephens noted that demand for premium farmland remains strong, making it important for owners to stay informed on market conditions and opportunities.

Related Stories
Dr. Gary Schnitkey from the University of Illinois discusses farmers’ sentiment toward industry consolidation, especially in the fertilizer sector, where costs remain historically high.
To qualify, land must be in the U.S., used substantially for farming in the last 10 years, and restricted from non-farm use for at least 10 years after the sale.
The dairy industry is encouraged by potential H-2A reforms while supporting renewal of the USMCA.

Marion is a digital content manager for RFD News and FarmHER + RanchHER. She started working for Rural Media Group in May 2022, bringing a decade of digital experience in broadcast media and some cooking experience to the team.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

Tennessee’s Agriculture specialty license plate, known as the Ag Tag, is celebrating its 30th anniversary, and state agriculture leaders are giving the public a chance to help shape its next chapter.
Experts note that economic growth, fuel demand, and energy diversification are opening new opportunities for U.S. grain and ethanol exports in Southeast Asia.
The Potter Valley Project has provided irrigation water and hydroelectric power for over 100 years in Northern California, serving agriculture and municipal users.
The USDA’s new cotton initiative comes as policymakers continue to focus on stabilizing farm income across major row crops while balancing export exposure with domestic supply chain resilience.
Agencies will collaborate to monitor wildlife movement along the U.S. Southern Border and reduce pathways for New World Screwworm to spread.
More than 1,000 Pennsylvania JBS workers face layoffs as the company prepares to close a beef processing plant this summer.