NASHVILLE, Tenn. (RFD News) — Coffee supplies from Indonesia are expected to tighten in 2026/27 after excessive rainfall hurt flowering and fruit development in key Robusta regions. The USDA’s Foreign Agricultural Service (FAS) forecasts Indonesia’s green coffee production at 11.38 million 60-kilogram bags, down 8 percent from the previous year.
The biggest decline is in Robusta. FAS Jakarta forecasts Robusta production at 10 million bags, down 1 million bags from 2025/26, following heavy rainfall that disrupted flowering in southern Sumatra and parts of Java.
Arabica production is expected to recover only slightly to 1.38 million bags. Flooding and landslides in Aceh and North Sumatra damaged farms, roads, bridges, warehouses, and processing facilities, keeping transport costs elevated.
Exports are also projected to be lower. Indonesia’s green bean exports are forecast at 7 million bags, down 11 percent, while the United States remains one of Indonesia’s top five coffee markets.
Domestic consumption is forecast to be slightly higher, at 4.83 million bags, as roasteries and processors continue to buy.
Farm-Level Takeaway: Weather losses in Indonesia could tighten global coffee supplies and keep attention on Robusta availability, shipping costs, and export competition.
Tony St. James, RFD News Markets Specialist
NRECA CEO Jim Matheson joins us to discuss rural electric co-ops’ push for expanded USDA loan programs, rising energy demand from data center expansion, wildfire mitigation and other policy priorities impacting rural power infrastructure.
StoneX’s Josh Linville discusses USDA’s efforts to boost domestic fertilizer production and his outlook on supply and prices.
The Texas Department of Agriculture confirmed a New World Screwworm case about 119 miles from the Texas border, near Zapata, Texas, and north and west of the Rio Grande Valley.
Ethanol demand held together last week, but lower production and thinner stocks put more focus on export strength. Production capacity is also strengthening over time and benefiting soybean farmers.
April 30, 2026 01:38 PM
·
Farm Bureau Economist Dr. Faith Parum discusses USDA’s efforts to expand fertilizer capacity, signals for farm profitability, and AFBF’s Farm Bill expectations.
April 30, 2026 01:22 PM
·
Louisiana soybean farmers are moving quickly to get this year’s crop planted during a key window for yield potential.
April 29, 2026 02:08 PM
·
