Land Value Expectations Reflect Different Producer Mood Levels in March Ag Economy Barometer

Farmland outlook is tracking closely with producer confidence, investment appetite, and financial expectations.

FarmlandRiver_AdobeStock_223753603_1920x1080.jpg

Adobe Stock

WEST LAFAYETTE, INDIANA (RFD NEWS) — Producers who expect farmland values to rise are also showing a much stronger outlook on current conditions and farm finances. Purdue University’s March 2026 Ag Economy Barometer analysis said land value expectations are lining up closely with broader differences in producer confidence.

The March barometer index stood at 127. About 35 percent of respondents expected land values to be higher a year from now, while roughly 10 percent expected values to be lower. Those expecting higher land values were generally more optimistic across the survey.

That gap was clear in investment and income expectations. Producers expecting lower land values posted a Farm Capital Investment Index of 34 and a Financial Performance Index of 93. Those expecting higher land values posted readings of 72 and 111.

High input costs were the biggest concern for both groups, but they carried more weight for producers expecting weaker land values. Livestock producers also made up a much larger share of the group, expecting land prices to rise.

The report said producers expecting lower land values pointed to net farm income as the biggest influence, while those expecting higher values were more likely to cite alternative investments.

The upcoming Ag Economy Barometer for April will be released next Tuesday, May 5.

Farm-Level Takeaway: Farmland outlook is tracking closely with producer confidence, investment appetite, and financial expectations.
Tony St. James, RFD News Markets Specialist

Related Stories
Brooks York with AgriSompo addresses how current market conditions and risk management are impacted by volatility in the Middle East, and considerations for farmers in the spring planting season.
The Biden Administration launched the Increasing Land, Capital, and Market Access (ILCMA) program in 2023 to help underserved farmers facing barriers to land ownership.
Farm CPA Paul Neiffer provided guidance on navigating the R&D tax credit, emphasizing record-keeping, eligibility, and maximizing potential savings as crop margins remain the key pressure point for farmers.
Justin Tupper with the U.S. Cattlemen’s Association joins us to discuss the USDA’s voluntary labeling updates, industry priorities, and the outlook for U.S. cattle producers.
Tight red meat supplies continue supporting livestock markets.
The agricultural installment land contract remains a sophisticated tool for transitioning farm assets, but its success depends entirely on the technical integrity of the written agreement.

Tony St. James joined the RFD-TV talent team in August 2024, bringing a wealth of experience and a fresh perspective to RFD-TV and Rural Radio Channel 147 Sirius XM. In addition to his role as Market Specialist (collaborating with Scott “The Cow Guy” Shellady to provide radio and TV audiences with the latest updates on ag commodity markets), he hosts “Rural America Live” and serves as talent for trade shows.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

Land equity protects solvency but does not replace profitability.
Reliable canal infrastructure supports long-term access to global agricultural markets.
Corn export pace remains the bright spot, but stable ethanol export demand remains a critical support for corn markets.
Rail consolidation could affect grain basis, freight rates, and service reliability across major producing regions.
For communities that depend on agriculture as their primary economic engine, the recession is not defined by headlines on Wall Street. It is defined by the quiet disappearance of the businesses that once processed, serviced, and supported the crop.
Alan Bjerga of the National Milk Producers Federation discusses the Dairy Margin Coverage program, recent improvements, and what producers need to know ahead of this week’s enrollment deadline.