CHICAGO, Il. (RFD-TV) — Farm finances tightened across the Chicago Federal Reserve’s Seventh District in the third quarter, with ag bankers reporting higher loan delinquencies even as farmland values posted modest year-over-year gains. The Chicago Fed’s latest AgLetter, led by policy advisor David Oppedahl, found credit conditions weakening further while crop farms remained pressed by narrow margins and rising costs.
Corn and soybean prices improved slightly late in the quarter, offering limited relief to crop producers who continue to face competition from Brazil and elevated input expenses. Bankers noted that weaker cash earnings are expected this fall and winter for most crop farms and dairy operations.
Operationally, more renewals and extensions signal increasing stress, and nearly half of the surveyed bankers anticipate a rise in forced liquidations. Some lenders are advising producers to tighten expenses or sell assets to rebuild working capital.
Regionally, farmland values rose about 3 percent from a year ago and held steady from the previous quarter, supported by strong demand and some interest from outside investors.
Looking ahead, livestock operations — particularly cattle and hog producers — may see stronger earnings as beef demand keeps prices elevated.
Farm-Level Takeaway: Credit stress is building for row-crop farms despite steady land values and slight price improvements.
Tony St. James, RFD-TV Markets Specialist
Margin Protection and the new MCO add county-level margin tools — with earlier price discovery, input cost triggers, and high subsidy rates — to complement on-farm risk plans for 2026.
October 24, 2025 01:44 PM
·
For aging operators and their rural neighbors, staying socially engaged is a practical strategy to preserve decision-making capacity and farm vitality.
October 24, 2025 01:37 PM
·
Set targets and use forwards, futures, or options to manage downside while preserving room for rallies.
October 24, 2025 11:05 AM
·
Bangladesh’s buying surge offers temporary relief for U.S. farmers facing weaker Chinese demand, highlighting how global politics can reshape export outlets overnight.
October 24, 2025 10:57 AM
·
Farm CPA Paul Neiffer discusses the status of USDA disaster aid, including delays to Stage 2 of the SDRP program, and what farmers should watch for as lawmakers negotiate an end to the government shutdown.
October 23, 2025 01:03 PM
·
Expanding bioethanol use strengthens rural economies, supports farm markets, and positions U.S. agriculture at the center of global low-carbon trade.
October 23, 2025 10:10 AM
·
Brooks York with Agri-Sompo joined us to discuss this year’s harvest price calculations and what they could mean for producers nationwide.
October 22, 2025 03:05 PM
·
Corn and wheat inspections outpaced last year, but soybean movement remains seasonally active yet behind, keeping basis and freight dynamics in focus by corridor.
October 21, 2025 04:00 PM
·
Lawmakers are pressing for answers on how Washington’s “managed trade” approach — keeping leverage through long-term tariffs — will affect farmers, global markets, and future export opportunities.
October 21, 2025 12:17 PM
·
