Loan Delinquencies Increase, Farmland Values Continue to Strengthen

Credit stress is building for row-crop farms despite steady land values and slight price improvements.

CHICAGO, Il. (RFD-TV) — Farm finances tightened across the Chicago Federal Reserve’s Seventh District in the third quarter, with ag bankers reporting higher loan delinquencies even as farmland values posted modest year-over-year gains. The Chicago Fed’s latest AgLetter, led by policy advisor David Oppedahl, found credit conditions weakening further while crop farms remained pressed by narrow margins and rising costs.

Corn and soybean prices improved slightly late in the quarter, offering limited relief to crop producers who continue to face competition from Brazil and elevated input expenses. Bankers noted that weaker cash earnings are expected this fall and winter for most crop farms and dairy operations.

Operationally, more renewals and extensions signal increasing stress, and nearly half of the surveyed bankers anticipate a rise in forced liquidations. Some lenders are advising producers to tighten expenses or sell assets to rebuild working capital.

Regionally, farmland values rose about 3 percent from a year ago and held steady from the previous quarter, supported by strong demand and some interest from outside investors.

Looking ahead, livestock operations — particularly cattle and hog producers — may see stronger earnings as beef demand keeps prices elevated.

Farm-Level Takeaway: Credit stress is building for row-crop farms despite steady land values and slight price improvements.
Tony St. James, RFD-TV Markets Specialist
Related Stories
This Firm to Farm blog post by farm legal and taxation expert Roger McEowen of the Washburn School of Law discusses the Small Tracts Act and resolving issues with the US Forest Service.
Farm legal and taxation expert Roger McEowen discusses the rise of drone technology in agriculture and how the ”plain view” doctrine could inform future regulatory law and insurance inspections of farmland.

Tony St. James joined the RFD-TV talent team in August 2024, bringing a wealth of experience and a fresh perspective to RFD-TV and Rural Radio Channel 147 Sirius XM. In addition to his role as Market Specialist (collaborating with Scott “The Cow Guy” Shellady to provide radio and TV audiences with the latest updates on ag commodity markets), he hosts “Rural America Live” and serves as talent for trade shows.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

Rising cow numbers and higher yields are boosting milk supplies, which may keep pressure on prices and farm margins into the fall.
U.S. soybean farmers are growing increasingly frustrated by Argentina’s gains in Chinese grain contracts and Trump’s pledge of economic support for the South American ally.
The USDA is moving to close the farm trade gap through promotion, missions, and stronger export financing.
Estate tax relief reduces pressure, but succession planning remains the critical challenge for farm families.
Fewer placements and historically low marketings point to tighter cattle supplies ahead, with Nebraska and Kansas gaining ground as Texas feedlots face supply pressure and the threat of New World Screwworm.
Farmers should anticipate continued upward pressure on farm labor costs and monitor policy changes that may further impact hiring decisions.